Skip to main content
icon for What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?
Economy·Housing

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?
Economy·Housing

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?

Sep 30

Sep 30

<$320K 100%

$320K - $325K 100%

$325K - $330K 100%

$330K - $335K 100%

Polymarket
NEW

<$320K 100%

$320K - $325K 100%

$325K - $330K 100%

$330K - $335K 100%

Polymarket
NEW

<$320K

$0 Vol.

100%

$320K - $325K

$0 Vol.

100%

$325K - $330K

$0 Vol.

100%

$330K - $335K

$0 Vol.

100%

$335K - $340K

$0 Vol.

100%

$340K - $345K

$0 Vol.

100%

$345K+

$0 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Recent data from sources like Zillow and Redfin show Chicago metro home values and median sale prices hovering near $326,000–$365,000 as of late May 2026, with year-over-year gains of 3.5–6.3% supported by persistently low inventory and steady local demand despite 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4%. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched $320K–$345K+ bins reflects uncertainty over whether seasonal summer activity and any further Fed easing will push the September 30 reading higher before potential softening in buyer affordability or inventory releases. Key swing factors include upcoming employment reports, Treasury yield movements, and Chicago-specific supply trends that could shift the median within the current narrow range.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Recent data from sources like Zillow and Redfin show Chicago metro home values and median sale prices hovering near $326,000–$365,000 as of late May 2026, with year-over-year gains of 3.5–6.3% supported by persistently low inventory and steady local demand despite 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4%. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched $320K–$345K+ bins reflects uncertainty over whether seasonal summer activity and any further Fed easing will push the September 30 reading higher before potential softening in buyer affordability or inventory releases. Key swing factors include upcoming employment reports, Treasury yield movements, and Chicago-specific supply trends that could shift the median within the current narrow range.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)

Related

icon for Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?

Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?

50%
icon for Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?

Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?

50%
icon for Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?

Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?

50%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<$320K" at 50%, followed by "$320K - $325K" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?" is "<$320K" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$320K - $325K" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.