**Hurricane Isaias, forecast by the National Hurricane Center to strengthen and make landfall near Pensacola on the evening of October 9, 2026, is the dominant driver of tornado risk.** The Storm Prediction Center’s Day 1 convective outlook places a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) across the Florida Panhandle, southeast Alabama, and southwest Georgia, citing 5–10% tornado probabilities tied to eastern rainbands. Moderate instability (MLCAPE 1500–2000 J/kg) from mid-to-upper 70s dewpoints combines with increasing 0–3 km storm-relative helicity near 200 m²/s² to favor rotating supercells within the bands. Cities including Pensacola, Panama City, Tallahassee, Dothan, and Valdosta sit inside the highest-probability contours. Updated SPC outlooks and NHC advisories through the afternoon and evening will refine timing and intensity as the system approaches.