Randy Villegas (D) holds a commanding lead in California's 22nd Congressional District following the November 3, 2026 general election, with early returns showing him at approximately 65 percent of the vote against incumbent David Valadao (R). A state redistricting process completed earlier in the year shifted district lines to favor Democrats, converting what had been a more competitive seat into one where Villegas consolidated support in the Democratic primary and built momentum around health care access and affordability issues. Valadao's record, including support for major Medicaid reductions in a district with high enrollment in Medi-Cal, contributed to his vulnerability in the Central Valley. Traders have aligned with the projected outcome at 99.3 percent for Villegas, consistent with vote counts and the absence of any remaining procedural factors that could alter the result. Late-counting absentee or provisional ballots represent the only realistic path to a narrower margin.