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Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

icon for Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

$268,266 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$268,266 Vol.

Polymarket

Max Holloway

$0 Vol.

79%

Yair Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

75%

Dricus Du Plessis

$0 Vol.

69%

Sergei Pavlovich

$88 Vol.

59%

Alexandre Pantoja

$648 Vol.

43%

Aljamain Sterling

$95 Vol.

42%

Nassourdine Imavov

$0 Vol.

42%

Charles Oliveira

$80 Vol.

41%

Merab Dvalishvili

$1,015 Vol.

36%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$48 Vol.

35%

Arman Tsarukyan

$2,383 Vol.

20%

Ian Machado Garry

$562 Vol.

18%

Jiří Procházka

$3,539 Vol.

22%

Leon Edwards

$39,967 Vol.

21%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$906 Vol.

13%

Alexander Volkov

$485 Vol.

18%

Kamaru Usman

$6,303 Vol.

16%

Belal Muhammad

$251 Vol.

16%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$7 Vol.

14%

Magomed Ankalaev

$1,079 Vol.

26%

Cory Sandhagen

$120 Vol.

11%

Paddy Pimblett

$3,288 Vol.

11%

Sean O'Malley

$1,356 Vol.

19%

Jack Della Maddalena

$48,473 Vol.

3%

Manel Kape

$43,871 Vol.

52%

Diego Lopes

$4,926 Vol.

35%

Ciryl Gane

$1,495 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent title shifts have reshaped UFC divisions heading into the latter half of 2026, with Sean Strickland capturing middleweight gold via split decision over Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 and Carlos Ulberg claiming light heavyweight via first-round knockout of Jiri Prochazka in April. These outcomes highlight how veteran striking and defensive craft can prevail in high-stakes title fights, elevating pound-for-pound rankings for proven performers while opening opportunities for rising contenders across weight classes. Upcoming unification bouts, such as Ilia Topuria against interim lightweight champion Justin Gaethje, and featherweight defenses by Alexander Volkanovski add further volatility, as do potential cross-division moves like Alex Pereira's heavyweight debut. Roster health, stylistic matchups, and short-notice replacements remain key variables that could determine additional champion changes before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$268,266
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent title shifts have reshaped UFC divisions heading into the latter half of 2026, with Sean Strickland capturing middleweight gold via split decision over Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 and Carlos Ulberg claiming light heavyweight via first-round knockout of Jiri Prochazka in April. These outcomes highlight how veteran striking and defensive craft can prevail in high-stakes title fights, elevating pound-for-pound rankings for proven performers while opening opportunities for rising contenders across weight classes. Upcoming unification bouts, such as Ilia Topuria against interim lightweight champion Justin Gaethje, and featherweight defenses by Alexander Volkanovski add further volatility, as do potential cross-division moves like Alex Pereira's heavyweight debut. Roster health, stylistic matchups, and short-notice replacements remain key variables that could determine additional champion changes before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$268,266
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, followed by "Manel Kape" at 52%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" has generated $268.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Manel Kape" at 52%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.