Airbnb's Q2 2026 gross booking value will be reported alongside earnings on August 6, serving as the immediate catalyst for trader positioning. Management guided low-double-digit year-over-year GBV growth in its May update, citing resilient travel demand, product enhancements, and monetization gains that supported Q1 GBV of roughly $29 billion (up 19%). Offsetting factors include an estimated 100-basis-point headwind from Middle East-related cancellations on nights booked, alongside a more modest ADR contribution after FX tailwinds moderate. Consensus revenue expectations cluster around $3.58 billion, with implied take-rate expansion providing additional support. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of whether actual bookings will meet or exceed the guided trajectory amid seasonal patterns and macroeconomic risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$26.4B
82%
$26.7B
49%
$27B
44%
$27.3B
29%
$27.6B
18%
$333 Vol.
$26.4B
82%
$26.7B
49%
$27B
44%
$27.3B
29%
$27.6B
18%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 26, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Airbnb's Q2 2026 gross booking value will be reported alongside earnings on August 6, serving as the immediate catalyst for trader positioning. Management guided low-double-digit year-over-year GBV growth in its May update, citing resilient travel demand, product enhancements, and monetization gains that supported Q1 GBV of roughly $29 billion (up 19%). Offsetting factors include an estimated 100-basis-point headwind from Middle East-related cancellations on nights booked, alongside a more modest ADR contribution after FX tailwinds moderate. Consensus revenue expectations cluster around $3.58 billion, with implied take-rate expansion providing additional support. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of whether actual bookings will meet or exceed the guided trajectory amid seasonal patterns and macroeconomic risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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