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icon for Will FURIA make a roster change before July?

Will FURIA make a roster change before July?

icon for Will FURIA make a roster change before July?

Will FURIA make a roster change before July?

14% chance
Polymarket
NEW
14% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: FalleN, yuurih, YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, and molodoy. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FURIA’s CS2 roster of FalleN, KSCERATO, yuurih, YEKINDAR, and molodoy remains unchanged entering PGL Astana 2026, the only top contender to hold its lineup from last season. This stability, combined with strong internal synergies and contract security, underpins the 86% trader consensus against any pre-July move. FalleN’s year-end retirement announcement has triggered internal planning and teammate support for extending his in-game leader role, yet coach Sidde reports ongoing scouting without imminent benches or signings. Mixed 2026 results, including a runner-up finish at IEM Krakow offset by an early BLAST Rivals exit, have not created urgency for adjustments. Co-founder Guerri has publicly ruled out a direct FalleN replacement before July, reinforcing the market’s view that the current core will persist through the immediate schedule window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: FalleN, yuurih, YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, and molodoy. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$398
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: FalleN, yuurih, YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, and molodoy. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: FalleN, yuurih, YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, and molodoy. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FURIA’s CS2 roster of FalleN, KSCERATO, yuurih, YEKINDAR, and molodoy remains unchanged entering PGL Astana 2026, the only top contender to hold its lineup from last season. This stability, combined with strong internal synergies and contract security, underpins the 86% trader consensus against any pre-July move. FalleN’s year-end retirement announcement has triggered internal planning and teammate support for extending his in-game leader role, yet coach Sidde reports ongoing scouting without imminent benches or signings. Mixed 2026 results, including a runner-up finish at IEM Krakow offset by an early BLAST Rivals exit, have not created urgency for adjustments. Co-founder Guerri has publicly ruled out a direct FalleN replacement before July, reinforcing the market’s view that the current core will persist through the immediate schedule window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: FalleN, yuurih, YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, and molodoy. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$398
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: FalleN, yuurih, YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, and molodoy. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will FURIA make a roster change before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 14% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 14¢, the market collectively assigns a 14% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will FURIA make a roster change before July?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will FURIA make a roster change before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will FURIA make a roster change before July?" is 14% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 14% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will FURIA make a roster change before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.