Microsoft shares closed at $499.70 on September 4, 2026, after trading in a $499–$517 range over the prior week amid a 2% pullback tied to elevated capital spending and cloud margin pressures. Strong Azure momentum—43% year-over-year growth to roughly $29.4 billion in the most recent quarter—continues to underpin sentiment, supported by accelerating AI demand and the company’s shift to two-segment reporting that enhances visibility into infrastructure and agentic offerings. Analyst consensus targets sit near $564, well above recent levels, while the next earnings release is not until late October. A quarterly dividend payable September 10 adds minor near-term support, but macro risk appetite and AI capex scrutiny remain key swing factors for any price thresholds tested during the week of September 7.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $547.50
27%
↑ $540
50%
↑ $532.50
50%
↑ $525
10%
↑ $517.50
24%
↑ $510
50%
↑ $502.50
84%
↓ $495
70%
↓ $487.50
36%
↓ $480
15%
↓ $472.50
6%
↓ $465
50%
↓ $457.50
48%
↓ $450
27%
$6 Vol.
↑ $547.50
27%
↑ $540
50%
↑ $532.50
50%
↑ $525
10%
↑ $517.50
24%
↑ $510
50%
↑ $502.50
84%
↓ $495
70%
↓ $487.50
36%
↓ $480
15%
↓ $472.50
6%
↓ $465
50%
↓ $457.50
48%
↓ $450
27%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft shares closed at $499.70 on September 4, 2026, after trading in a $499–$517 range over the prior week amid a 2% pullback tied to elevated capital spending and cloud margin pressures. Strong Azure momentum—43% year-over-year growth to roughly $29.4 billion in the most recent quarter—continues to underpin sentiment, supported by accelerating AI demand and the company’s shift to two-segment reporting that enhances visibility into infrastructure and agentic offerings. Analyst consensus targets sit near $564, well above recent levels, while the next earnings release is not until late October. A quarterly dividend payable September 10 adds minor near-term support, but macro risk appetite and AI capex scrutiny remain key swing factors for any price thresholds tested during the week of September 7.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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