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Sports·CS2

Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change by December 31?

icon for Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change by December 31?
Sports·CS2

Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change by December 31?

23% chance
Polymarket
NEW
23% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Spirit's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: magixx, donk, zont1x, sh1ro, tN1R. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Team Spirit's Dota 2 roster, featuring Yatoro, Larl, Collapse, not_me, and rue under coach Miposhka, delivered a 3-2 grand finals win over TEAM VISION to claim The International 2026 title in late August. This capped a season of earlier instability marked by multiple support-line adjustments, including the mid-year integration of not_me and rue's positional shift, which produced strong late momentum through regional qualifiers and an unbeaten group stage run. No roster moves have been announced in the immediate post-TI shuffle period, when other organizations have begun adjustments, and the core has shown consistent synergy in high-stakes matches. With the new season set to begin in September and no reported contract issues or performance concerns, traders view the current lineup as stable through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Spirit's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: magixx, donk, zont1x, sh1ro, tN1R. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Spirit's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: magixx, donk, zont1x, sh1ro, tN1R. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Spirit's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: magixx, donk, zont1x, sh1ro, tN1R. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Team Spirit's Dota 2 roster, featuring Yatoro, Larl, Collapse, not_me, and rue under coach Miposhka, delivered a 3-2 grand finals win over TEAM VISION to claim The International 2026 title in late August. This capped a season of earlier instability marked by multiple support-line adjustments, including the mid-year integration of not_me and rue's positional shift, which produced strong late momentum through regional qualifiers and an unbeaten group stage run. No roster moves have been announced in the immediate post-TI shuffle period, when other organizations have begun adjustments, and the core has shown consistent synergy in high-stakes matches. With the new season set to begin in September and no reported contract issues or performance concerns, traders view the current lineup as stable through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Spirit's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: magixx, donk, zont1x, sh1ro, tN1R. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Spirit's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: magixx, donk, zont1x, sh1ro, tN1R. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 23% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 23¢, the market collectively assigns a 23% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change by December 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change by December 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change by December 31?" is 23% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 23% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.