ArrowCS's contested 50% implied probability reflects balanced trader sentiment around his history of denying bug-eating allegations from CS2 stream clips while operating in a high-engagement streaming environment where performative challenges mirror playoff pressure or exhibition matches. Recent form shows consistent pushback against rumors without confirmed roster additions like scheduled stunts, creating parity similar to evenly matched conference rivals. Key variables include schedule spot through year-end, potential lineup shifts from audience incentives or rival content creators, and injury-like factors such as health or platform policy that could alter availability. Any late-season development like a high-profile dare or verified commitment would shift momentum toward yes, while sustained denials or quiet periods would favor no.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.ArrowCS's contested 50% implied probability reflects balanced trader sentiment around his history of denying bug-eating allegations from CS2 stream clips while operating in a high-engagement streaming environment where performative challenges mirror playoff pressure or exhibition matches. Recent form shows consistent pushback against rumors without confirmed roster additions like scheduled stunts, creating parity similar to evenly matched conference rivals. Key variables include schedule spot through year-end, potential lineup shifts from audience incentives or rival content creators, and injury-like factors such as health or platform policy that could alter availability. Any late-season development like a high-profile dare or verified commitment would shift momentum toward yes, while sustained denials or quiet periods would favor no.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.
"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.ArrowCS's contested 50% implied probability reflects balanced trader sentiment around his history of denying bug-eating allegations from CS2 stream clips while operating in a high-engagement streaming environment where performative challenges mirror playoff pressure or exhibition matches. Recent form shows consistent pushback against rumors without confirmed roster additions like scheduled stunts, creating parity similar to evenly matched conference rivals. Key variables include schedule spot through year-end, potential lineup shifts from audience incentives or rival content creators, and injury-like factors such as health or platform policy that could alter availability. Any late-season development like a high-profile dare or verified commitment would shift momentum toward yes, while sustained denials or quiet periods would favor no.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.
"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.
Volume
$0End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...ArrowCS's contested 50% implied probability reflects balanced trader sentiment around his history of denying bug-eating allegations from CS2 stream clips while operating in a high-engagement streaming environment where performative challenges mirror playoff pressure or exhibition matches. Recent form shows consistent pushback against rumors without confirmed roster additions like scheduled stunts, creating parity similar to evenly matched conference rivals. Key variables include schedule spot through year-end, potential lineup shifts from audience incentives or rival content creators, and injury-like factors such as health or platform policy that could alter availability. Any late-season development like a high-profile dare or verified commitment would shift momentum toward yes, while sustained denials or quiet periods would favor no.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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