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icon for Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?
Sports·NFL

Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

icon for Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?
Sports·NFL

Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

48% chance
Polymarket
NEW
48% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.The Chicago Bears' stadium negotiations remain centered on Hammond, Indiana, after the team's board advanced those plans in June 2026, yet the process involves ongoing due diligence on multiple sites, environmental reviews, and financing approvals that extend well beyond year-end. Illinois lawmakers continue introducing incentives and alternative proposals, including Arlington Heights options, while the franchise's Soldier Field lease runs through 2033. With no final site selection, construction timeline, or relocation vote completed, recent owner comments emphasize evaluation rather than imminent departure. These extended procedural hurdles and competing state offers underpin the 63% implied probability that the team stays in Illinois through December 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered.

For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.
Volume
$6,565
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Feb 21, 2026, 12:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.The Chicago Bears' stadium negotiations remain centered on Hammond, Indiana, after the team's board advanced those plans in June 2026, yet the process involves ongoing due diligence on multiple sites, environmental reviews, and financing approvals that extend well beyond year-end. Illinois lawmakers continue introducing incentives and alternative proposals, including Arlington Heights options, while the franchise's Soldier Field lease runs through 2033. With no final site selection, construction timeline, or relocation vote completed, recent owner comments emphasize evaluation rather than imminent departure. These extended procedural hurdles and competing state offers underpin the 63% implied probability that the team stays in Illinois through December 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered.

For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.
Volume
$6,565
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Feb 21, 2026, 12:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 38% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 38¢, the market collectively assigns a 38% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?" is 38% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 38% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.