Gold (XAU/USD) has rallied sharply into the week of August 17, 2026, trading above $4,600 per ounce—its highest level since mid-May—on the back of softer U.S. economic data that has tempered expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate hikes. Recent tame July CPI prints and weak nonfarm payrolls have lowered the implied odds of tightening, supporting lower Treasury yields and a softer dollar that typically boosts the non-yielding metal. Geopolitical uncertainties and ongoing central bank demand continue to underpin safe-haven flows, though elevated oil prices keep some inflation risks in focus. Key near-term catalysts include the August 19 release of July FOMC minutes and August PMI data, which could shift rate-path expectations and drive further volatility in the spot price.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$54,390 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
↑ $4,700
No
↑ $4,650
No
↑ $4,600
Yes
↑ $4,550
Yes
↑ $4,500
Yes
↑ $4,450
Yes
↑ $4,400
Yes
↓ $4,350
Yes
↓ $4,300
No
↓ $4,250
No
↓ $4,200
No
↓ $4,150
No
↓ $4,100
No
↓ $4,050
No
$54,390 Vol.
↑ $4,700
$5,558 Vol.
No
↑ $4,650
$14,704 Vol.
No
↑ $4,600
$3,457 Vol.
Yes
↑ $4,550
$7,406 Vol.
Yes
↑ $4,500
$1,847 Vol.
Yes
↑ $4,450
$5,161 Vol.
Yes
↑ $4,400
$315 Vol.
Yes
↓ $4,350
$491 Vol.
Yes
↓ $4,300
$6,244 Vol.
No
↓ $4,250
$2,788 Vol.
No
↓ $4,200
$1,392 Vol.
No
↓ $4,150
$1,594 Vol.
No
↓ $4,100
$1,748 Vol.
No
↓ $4,050
$1,683 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 17 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold (XAU/USD) has rallied sharply into the week of August 17, 2026, trading above $4,600 per ounce—its highest level since mid-May—on the back of softer U.S. economic data that has tempered expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate hikes. Recent tame July CPI prints and weak nonfarm payrolls have lowered the implied odds of tightening, supporting lower Treasury yields and a softer dollar that typically boosts the non-yielding metal. Geopolitical uncertainties and ongoing central bank demand continue to underpin safe-haven flows, though elevated oil prices keep some inflation risks in focus. Key near-term catalysts include the August 19 release of July FOMC minutes and August PMI data, which could shift rate-path expectations and drive further volatility in the spot price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 17 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Volume
$54,390End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 17 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold (XAU/USD) has rallied sharply into the week of August 17, 2026, trading above $4,600 per ounce—its highest level since mid-May—on the back of softer U.S. economic data that has tempered expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate hikes. Recent tame July CPI prints and weak nonfarm payrolls have lowered the implied odds of tightening, supporting lower Treasury yields and a softer dollar that typically boosts the non-yielding metal. Geopolitical uncertainties and ongoing central bank demand continue to underpin safe-haven flows, though elevated oil prices keep some inflation risks in focus. Key near-term catalysts include the August 19 release of July FOMC minutes and August PMI data, which could shift rate-path expectations and drive further volatility in the spot price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 17 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$54,390End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Gold (XAU/USD) has rallied sharply into the week of August 17, 2026, trading above $4,600 per ounce—its highest level since mid-May—on the back of softer U.S. economic data that has tempered expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate hikes. Recent tame July CPI prints and weak nonfarm payrolls have lowered the implied odds of tightening, supporting lower Treasury yields and a softer dollar that typically boosts the non-yielding metal. Geopolitical uncertainties and ongoing central bank demand continue to underpin safe-haven flows, though elevated oil prices keep some inflation risks in focus. Key near-term catalysts include the August 19 release of July FOMC minutes and August PMI data, which could shift rate-path expectations and drive further volatility in the spot price.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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