Incumbent Democrat Josh Kaul holds a clear lead in the Wisconsin attorney general race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by his status as a two-term officeholder who prevailed in a 2022 rematch against Republican Eric Toney by roughly 35,000 votes. Both candidates secured their party nominations without opposition in the August 2026 primaries, allowing focus to shift to the general election where Toney benefits from unified Republican support and outside ad spending targeting crime lab delays and narcotics enforcement. Kaul has drawn endorsements from labor groups and Democratic lawmakers while prevailing in a recent state Supreme Court ruling on settlement fund authority. With roughly two months until voting, the implied probabilities reflect Kaul’s structural advantages in a state Trump carried in 2024, though the historically narrow margin leaves room for shifts from turnout or late campaign developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Josh Kaul (D)
77%
Eric Toney (R)
23%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Josh Kaul (D)
$144 Vol.
77%
Eric Toney (R)
$42 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democrat Josh Kaul holds a clear lead in the Wisconsin attorney general race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by his status as a two-term officeholder who prevailed in a 2022 rematch against Republican Eric Toney by roughly 35,000 votes. Both candidates secured their party nominations without opposition in the August 2026 primaries, allowing focus to shift to the general election where Toney benefits from unified Republican support and outside ad spending targeting crime lab delays and narcotics enforcement. Kaul has drawn endorsements from labor groups and Democratic lawmakers while prevailing in a recent state Supreme Court ruling on settlement fund authority. With roughly two months until voting, the implied probabilities reflect Kaul’s structural advantages in a state Trump carried in 2024, though the historically narrow margin leaves room for shifts from turnout or late campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
Volume
$186End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democrat Josh Kaul holds a clear lead in the Wisconsin attorney general race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by his status as a two-term officeholder who prevailed in a 2022 rematch against Republican Eric Toney by roughly 35,000 votes. Both candidates secured their party nominations without opposition in the August 2026 primaries, allowing focus to shift to the general election where Toney benefits from unified Republican support and outside ad spending targeting crime lab delays and narcotics enforcement. Kaul has drawn endorsements from labor groups and Democratic lawmakers while prevailing in a recent state Supreme Court ruling on settlement fund authority. With roughly two months until voting, the implied probabilities reflect Kaul’s structural advantages in a state Trump carried in 2024, though the historically narrow margin leaves room for shifts from turnout or late campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$186End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat Josh Kaul holds a clear lead in the Wisconsin attorney general race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by his status as a two-term officeholder who prevailed in a 2022 rematch against Republican Eric Toney by roughly 35,000 votes. Both candidates secured their party nominations without opposition in the August 2026 primaries, allowing focus to shift to the general election where Toney benefits from unified Republican support and outside ad spending targeting crime lab delays and narcotics enforcement. Kaul has drawn endorsements from labor groups and Democratic lawmakers while prevailing in a recent state Supreme Court ruling on settlement fund authority. With roughly two months until voting, the implied probabilities reflect Kaul’s structural advantages in a state Trump carried in 2024, though the historically narrow margin leaves room for shifts from turnout or late campaign developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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