Spain, the top-ranked European champions with a deep squad and strong recent form, commands 78.5% implied probability to top Group H due to overwhelming talent and experience advantages over the field. Uruguay, ranked 17th and guided by Marcelo Bielsa, holds 19.5% as the primary challenger, drawing on its historical pedigree, physical style, and solid CONMEBOL qualifying record. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde, ranked around 60th and 69th respectively, sit at minimal probabilities ahead of the June 15 kickoff, with limited recent international success and stylistic mismatches against the favorites. Pre-tournament preparations, including Uruguay’s arrival in Mexico, reinforce the established hierarchy without notable roster disruptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEspanha 79%
Uruguai 20%
Arábia Saudita 2.0%
Cabo Verde 1.7%
$277,160 Vol.
$277,160 Vol.
Espanha
79%
Uruguai
20%
Arábia Saudita
2%
Cabo Verde
2%
Espanha 79%
Uruguai 20%
Arábia Saudita 2.0%
Cabo Verde 1.7%
$277,160 Vol.
$277,160 Vol.
Espanha
79%
Uruguai
20%
Arábia Saudita
2%
Cabo Verde
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain, the top-ranked European champions with a deep squad and strong recent form, commands 78.5% implied probability to top Group H due to overwhelming talent and experience advantages over the field. Uruguay, ranked 17th and guided by Marcelo Bielsa, holds 19.5% as the primary challenger, drawing on its historical pedigree, physical style, and solid CONMEBOL qualifying record. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde, ranked around 60th and 69th respectively, sit at minimal probabilities ahead of the June 15 kickoff, with limited recent international success and stylistic mismatches against the favorites. Pre-tournament preparations, including Uruguay’s arrival in Mexico, reinforce the established hierarchy without notable roster disruptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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