Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92% implied probability for a qualifying U.S. bill prohibiting or suspending new AI data center construction passing into law before 2027, propelled by intensifying local backlash over skyrocketing energy demands—PJM grid interconnection costs have surged from $22 billion to $147 billion annually, with residential rates up 32% in five years. Recent catalysts include Baltimore City Council's May 13 approval of a moratorium and Inver Grove Heights, Minnesota's similar measure, amid 70+ jurisdictions now blocking builds, 300+ local bills filed, and advances in 27 states fueled by protests over grid strain, noise, and water use. While federal efforts like Sanders and AOC's AI Data Center Moratorium Act face slim odds, localized momentum makes Yes dominant; realistic challenges include gubernatorial vetoes, court injunctions, or scopes excluding AI-specific facilities, though bill signing alone triggers resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$50,303 Vol.
$50,303 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$50,303 Vol.
$50,303 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92% implied probability for a qualifying U.S. bill prohibiting or suspending new AI data center construction passing into law before 2027, propelled by intensifying local backlash over skyrocketing energy demands—PJM grid interconnection costs have surged from $22 billion to $147 billion annually, with residential rates up 32% in five years. Recent catalysts include Baltimore City Council's May 13 approval of a moratorium and Inver Grove Heights, Minnesota's similar measure, amid 70+ jurisdictions now blocking builds, 300+ local bills filed, and advances in 27 states fueled by protests over grid strain, noise, and water use. While federal efforts like Sanders and AOC's AI Data Center Moratorium Act face slim odds, localized momentum makes Yes dominant; realistic challenges include gubernatorial vetoes, court injunctions, or scopes excluding AI-specific facilities, though bill signing alone triggers resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$50,303Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92% implied probability for a qualifying U.S. bill prohibiting or suspending new AI data center construction passing into law before 2027, propelled by intensifying local backlash over skyrocketing energy demands—PJM grid interconnection costs have surged from $22 billion to $147 billion annually, with residential rates up 32% in five years. Recent catalysts include Baltimore City Council's May 13 approval of a moratorium and Inver Grove Heights, Minnesota's similar measure, amid 70+ jurisdictions now blocking builds, 300+ local bills filed, and advances in 27 states fueled by protests over grid strain, noise, and water use. While federal efforts like Sanders and AOC's AI Data Center Moratorium Act face slim odds, localized momentum makes Yes dominant; realistic challenges include gubernatorial vetoes, court injunctions, or scopes excluding AI-specific facilities, though bill signing alone triggers resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$50,303Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92% implied probability for a qualifying U.S. bill prohibiting or suspending new AI data center construction passing into law before 2027, propelled by intensifying local backlash over skyrocketing energy demands—PJM grid interconnection costs have surged from $22 billion to $147 billion annually, with residential rates up 32% in five years. Recent catalysts include Baltimore City Council's May 13 approval of a moratorium and Inver Grove Heights, Minnesota's similar measure, amid 70+ jurisdictions now blocking builds, 300+ local bills filed, and advances in 27 states fueled by protests over grid strain, noise, and water use. While federal efforts like Sanders and AOC's AI Data Center Moratorium Act face slim odds, localized momentum makes Yes dominant; realistic challenges include gubernatorial vetoes, court injunctions, or scopes excluding AI-specific facilities, though bill signing alone triggers resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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