**Carnival’s strong booking momentum and operational execution underpin the 83.5% market-implied probability that the company will beat Q3 2026 consensus EPS estimates of $1.35.** The cruise operator enters the seasonally important summer quarter with 93% of 2026 capacity already booked at historically high prices and record customer deposits of $9 billion, reflecting sustained consumer demand despite geopolitical pressures in Europe and the Middle East. Management has delivered 12 consecutive EPS beats, most recently posting adjusted EPS of $0.41 in Q2 versus the $0.34 estimate, aided by cost discipline, over 5% fuel-efficiency gains, and higher net yields that offset elevated fuel costs. Trader consensus embeds these fundamentals while acknowledging that any shortfall in European occupancy or further yield moderation could narrow the margin for outperformance relative to the company’s own guidance. The upcoming September 29 release remains the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCarnival (CCL) battra-t-il les bénéfices trimestriels ?
Oui
Oui
If Carnival releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CCL/earningsRésolveur
0x65070BE91...If Carnival releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Source de résolution
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CCL/earningsRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**Carnival’s strong booking momentum and operational execution underpin the 83.5% market-implied probability that the company will beat Q3 2026 consensus EPS estimates of $1.35.** The cruise operator enters the seasonally important summer quarter with 93% of 2026 capacity already booked at historically high prices and record customer deposits of $9 billion, reflecting sustained consumer demand despite geopolitical pressures in Europe and the Middle East. Management has delivered 12 consecutive EPS beats, most recently posting adjusted EPS of $0.41 in Q2 versus the $0.34 estimate, aided by cost discipline, over 5% fuel-efficiency gains, and higher net yields that offset elevated fuel costs. Trader consensus embeds these fundamentals while acknowledging that any shortfall in European occupancy or further yield moderation could narrow the margin for outperformance relative to the company’s own guidance. The upcoming September 29 release remains the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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