OpenAI’s IPO valuation market reflects uncertainty around timing and pricing power, with the $1.25T–$1.5T bracket holding a narrow lead at 20.5% implied probability. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money round and August secondary marks near $894 billion set the baseline, while CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion minimum has shifted expectations toward a 2027 debut after the September 2026 window passed without a listing. Persistent operating losses near $14 billion on a roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run rate, alongside competitive pressure from Anthropic’s earlier IPO path, weigh on multiples. Traders appear to price in revenue acceleration potential against dilution and macro risk appetite, leaving the $1.5T–$2T range tightly contested as key swing factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.6%
$2.5T+ 14.6%
$124,343 Vol.
$124,343 Vol.
30 juin 2027
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
15%
$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.6%
$2.5T+ 14.6%
$124,343 Vol.
$124,343 Vol.
30 juin 2027
<$1T
$15,466 Vol.
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$14,056 Vol.
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$6,920 Vol.
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,286 Vol.
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,585 Vol.
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,564 Vol.
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$6,826 Vol.
5%
$2.5T+
$57,641 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s IPO valuation market reflects uncertainty around timing and pricing power, with the $1.25T–$1.5T bracket holding a narrow lead at 20.5% implied probability. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money round and August secondary marks near $894 billion set the baseline, while CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion minimum has shifted expectations toward a 2027 debut after the September 2026 window passed without a listing. Persistent operating losses near $14 billion on a roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run rate, alongside competitive pressure from Anthropic’s earlier IPO path, weigh on multiples. Traders appear to price in revenue acceleration potential against dilution and macro risk appetite, leaving the $1.5T–$2T range tightly contested as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$124,343Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s IPO valuation market reflects uncertainty around timing and pricing power, with the $1.25T–$1.5T bracket holding a narrow lead at 20.5% implied probability. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money round and August secondary marks near $894 billion set the baseline, while CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion minimum has shifted expectations toward a 2027 debut after the September 2026 window passed without a listing. Persistent operating losses near $14 billion on a roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run rate, alongside competitive pressure from Anthropic’s earlier IPO path, weigh on multiples. Traders appear to price in revenue acceleration potential against dilution and macro risk appetite, leaving the $1.5T–$2T range tightly contested as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,343Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s IPO valuation market reflects uncertainty around timing and pricing power, with the $1.25T–$1.5T bracket holding a narrow lead at 20.5% implied probability. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money round and August secondary marks near $894 billion set the baseline, while CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion minimum has shifted expectations toward a 2027 debut after the September 2026 window passed without a listing. Persistent operating losses near $14 billion on a roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run rate, alongside competitive pressure from Anthropic’s earlier IPO path, weigh on multiples. Traders appear to price in revenue acceleration potential against dilution and macro risk appetite, leaving the $1.5T–$2T range tightly contested as key swing factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?
33%
La capitalisation boursière d’OpenAI sera-t-elle de 1,5 T$ ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
81%
Oui
Capitalisation boursière de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'OpenAI supérieure à 1 000 milliards de dollars ?
95%
Oui
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