OpenAI’s IPO valuation market reflects trader focus on the company’s shift toward a potential 2027 debut after missing the September 2026 window, with CEO Sam Altman holding firm on a $1 trillion-plus target despite the most recent $852 billion private valuation from the March 2026 funding round. Revenue has scaled to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate amid ongoing heavy losses, while competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic and broader market sentiment following volatile large-cap tech listings continue to shape expectations. The closely bunched probabilities across the $1.25 trillion–$2 trillion brackets underscore uncertainty around timing, revenue inflection, and public-market appetite for the premium multiple required to clear Altman’s threshold. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on regulatory filings or earnings trajectory that could clarify resolution paths.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.5%
$2.5T+ 14.5%
$124,136 Vol.
$124,136 Vol.
30 juin 2027
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
11%
$1.25T–$1.5T
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.5%
$2.5T+ 14.5%
$124,136 Vol.
$124,136 Vol.
30 juin 2027
<$1T
$15,466 Vol.
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$14,056 Vol.
11%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$6,920 Vol.
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,078 Vol.
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,585 Vol.
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,564 Vol.
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$6,826 Vol.
5%
$2.5T+
$57,641 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s IPO valuation market reflects trader focus on the company’s shift toward a potential 2027 debut after missing the September 2026 window, with CEO Sam Altman holding firm on a $1 trillion-plus target despite the most recent $852 billion private valuation from the March 2026 funding round. Revenue has scaled to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate amid ongoing heavy losses, while competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic and broader market sentiment following volatile large-cap tech listings continue to shape expectations. The closely bunched probabilities across the $1.25 trillion–$2 trillion brackets underscore uncertainty around timing, revenue inflection, and public-market appetite for the premium multiple required to clear Altman’s threshold. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on regulatory filings or earnings trajectory that could clarify resolution paths.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$124,136Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s IPO valuation market reflects trader focus on the company’s shift toward a potential 2027 debut after missing the September 2026 window, with CEO Sam Altman holding firm on a $1 trillion-plus target despite the most recent $852 billion private valuation from the March 2026 funding round. Revenue has scaled to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate amid ongoing heavy losses, while competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic and broader market sentiment following volatile large-cap tech listings continue to shape expectations. The closely bunched probabilities across the $1.25 trillion–$2 trillion brackets underscore uncertainty around timing, revenue inflection, and public-market appetite for the premium multiple required to clear Altman’s threshold. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on regulatory filings or earnings trajectory that could clarify resolution paths.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,136Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s IPO valuation market reflects trader focus on the company’s shift toward a potential 2027 debut after missing the September 2026 window, with CEO Sam Altman holding firm on a $1 trillion-plus target despite the most recent $852 billion private valuation from the March 2026 funding round. Revenue has scaled to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate amid ongoing heavy losses, while competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic and broader market sentiment following volatile large-cap tech listings continue to shape expectations. The closely bunched probabilities across the $1.25 trillion–$2 trillion brackets underscore uncertainty around timing, revenue inflection, and public-market appetite for the premium multiple required to clear Altman’s threshold. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on regulatory filings or earnings trajectory that could clarify resolution paths.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?
28%
La capitalisation boursière d’OpenAI sera-t-elle de 1,5 T$ ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
81%
Oui
Capitalisation boursière de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'OpenAI supérieure à 1 000 milliards de dollars ?
95%
Oui
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