Ohio's position as the leading contender reflects recent primary outcomes and polling showing a narrow contest between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, with margins under 2 points in multiple surveys. Similar dynamics apply in Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas, where open seats after term-limited or retiring incumbents have produced competitive matchups and shifting primary results that keep projected general-election spreads tight. These states feature mixed partisan leans, independent voter blocs, and limited historical data on the current candidate fields, sustaining uncertainty ahead of November 3. Fresh developments such as candidate endorsements, debate performances, or economic indicators could widen or narrow margins in any of the listed races.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOhio 18.2%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
Iowa 11.8%
$11,682 Vol.
$11,682 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Ohio
18%
Wisconsin
13%
Kansas
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
12%
Alaska
11%
Floride
13%
Georgia
10%
New Hampshire
9%
Nevada
7%
Michigan
5%
Vermont
4%
Oregon
3%
Minnesota
3%
Maine
3%
Colorado
2%
New Mexico
2%
Arizona
1%
Ohio 18.2%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
Iowa 11.8%
$11,682 Vol.
$11,682 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Ohio
$423 Vol.
18%
Wisconsin
$970 Vol.
13%
Kansas
$2,109 Vol.
12%
Iowa
$1,480 Vol.
12%
Texas
$1,569 Vol.
12%
Alaska
$207 Vol.
11%
Floride
$224 Vol.
13%
Georgia
$297 Vol.
10%
New Hampshire
$272 Vol.
9%
Nevada
$2,034 Vol.
7%
Michigan
$329 Vol.
5%
Vermont
$176 Vol.
4%
Oregon
$319 Vol.
3%
Minnesota
$214 Vol.
3%
Maine
$355 Vol.
3%
Colorado
$243 Vol.
2%
New Mexico
$194 Vol.
2%
Arizona
$269 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ohio's position as the leading contender reflects recent primary outcomes and polling showing a narrow contest between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, with margins under 2 points in multiple surveys. Similar dynamics apply in Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas, where open seats after term-limited or retiring incumbents have produced competitive matchups and shifting primary results that keep projected general-election spreads tight. These states feature mixed partisan leans, independent voter blocs, and limited historical data on the current candidate fields, sustaining uncertainty ahead of November 3. Fresh developments such as candidate endorsements, debate performances, or economic indicators could widen or narrow margins in any of the listed races.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$11,682Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ohio's position as the leading contender reflects recent primary outcomes and polling showing a narrow contest between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, with margins under 2 points in multiple surveys. Similar dynamics apply in Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas, where open seats after term-limited or retiring incumbents have produced competitive matchups and shifting primary results that keep projected general-election spreads tight. These states feature mixed partisan leans, independent voter blocs, and limited historical data on the current candidate fields, sustaining uncertainty ahead of November 3. Fresh developments such as candidate endorsements, debate performances, or economic indicators could widen or narrow margins in any of the listed races.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,682Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ohio's position as the leading contender reflects recent primary outcomes and polling showing a narrow contest between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, with margins under 2 points in multiple surveys. Similar dynamics apply in Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas, where open seats after term-limited or retiring incumbents have produced competitive matchups and shifting primary results that keep projected general-election spreads tight. These states feature mixed partisan leans, independent voter blocs, and limited historical data on the current candidate fields, sustaining uncertainty ahead of November 3. Fresh developments such as candidate endorsements, debate performances, or economic indicators could widen or narrow margins in any of the listed races.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?
23%
La course au Sénat du Texas en 2026 se jouera-t-elle à moins de 5 % ?
72%
Oui
Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le vote populaire lors des élections de mi-mandat à la Chambre des représentants des États-Unis de 2026 avec une avance comprise entre 8 % et 10 % ?
27%
Oui
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