Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume posting on X underpins the market's near-certain alignment with the 40-64 tweet range for August 22-24. Traders track his typical daily output across AI developments, SpaceX updates, Tesla commentary, and quick replies or memes, which historically cluster in this band during ordinary periods without major disruptions. Recent activity, including discussions around Grok agents, NVIDIA partnerships, and SpaceX hardware, aligns with that cadence rather than signaling a spike or slowdown. An upset into higher brackets would require sustained external pressure like a breaking global event or platform outage, while lower counts could follow only if Musk steps back for travel, focused work sessions, or deliberate quiet periods—scenarios viewed as low-probability given his consistent engagement style.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$874,591 Vol.
$874,591 Vol.
24 août 2026
<40
Non
40-64
Oui
65-89
Non
90-114
Non
115-139
Non
140-164
Non
165-189
Non
190-214
Non
215-239
Non
240+
Non
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$874,591 Vol.
$874,591 Vol.
24 août 2026
<40
$190,279 Vol.
Non
40-64
$125,544 Vol.
Oui
65-89
$232,573 Vol.
Non
90-114
$138,859 Vol.
Non
115-139
$93,229 Vol.
Non
140-164
$35,070 Vol.
Non
165-189
$31,020 Vol.
Non
190-214
$15,520 Vol.
Non
215-239
$8,044 Vol.
Non
240+
$4,452 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume posting on X underpins the market's near-certain alignment with the 40-64 tweet range for August 22-24. Traders track his typical daily output across AI developments, SpaceX updates, Tesla commentary, and quick replies or memes, which historically cluster in this band during ordinary periods without major disruptions. Recent activity, including discussions around Grok agents, NVIDIA partnerships, and SpaceX hardware, aligns with that cadence rather than signaling a spike or slowdown. An upset into higher brackets would require sustained external pressure like a breaking global event or platform outage, while lower counts could follow only if Musk steps back for travel, focused work sessions, or deliberate quiet periods—scenarios viewed as low-probability given his consistent engagement style.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$874,591Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume posting on X underpins the market's near-certain alignment with the 40-64 tweet range for August 22-24. Traders track his typical daily output across AI developments, SpaceX updates, Tesla commentary, and quick replies or memes, which historically cluster in this band during ordinary periods without major disruptions. Recent activity, including discussions around Grok agents, NVIDIA partnerships, and SpaceX hardware, aligns with that cadence rather than signaling a spike or slowdown. An upset into higher brackets would require sustained external pressure like a breaking global event or platform outage, while lower counts could follow only if Musk steps back for travel, focused work sessions, or deliberate quiet periods—scenarios viewed as low-probability given his consistent engagement style.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$874,591Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume posting on X underpins the market's near-certain alignment with the 40-64 tweet range for August 22-24. Traders track his typical daily output across AI developments, SpaceX updates, Tesla commentary, and quick replies or memes, which historically cluster in this band during ordinary periods without major disruptions. Recent activity, including discussions around Grok agents, NVIDIA partnerships, and SpaceX hardware, aligns with that cadence rather than signaling a spike or slowdown. An upset into higher brackets would require sustained external pressure like a breaking global event or platform outage, while lower counts could follow only if Musk steps back for travel, focused work sessions, or deliberate quiet periods—scenarios viewed as low-probability given his consistent engagement style.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes