Congressional leaders advanced short-term funding measures well ahead of the September 30 deadline, reducing the likelihood of an appropriations lapse on October 1. The House passed a clean continuing resolution in July to maintain operations through early December at prior-year levels, while the Senate approved a similar measure on August 8 by a 90-6 bipartisan vote extending funding through December 11. These steps follow prior-year shutdown disruptions and reflect efforts to provide stability before midterm elections, with both chambers prioritizing procedural certainty over policy riders. Full enactment would avert any funding gap for the start of fiscal year 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour14% chance
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1 oct. 2026
14% chance
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1 oct. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional leaders advanced short-term funding measures well ahead of the September 30 deadline, reducing the likelihood of an appropriations lapse on October 1. The House passed a clean continuing resolution in July to maintain operations through early December at prior-year levels, while the Senate approved a similar measure on August 8 by a 90-6 bipartisan vote extending funding through December 11. These steps follow prior-year shutdown disruptions and reflect efforts to provide stability before midterm elections, with both chambers prioritizing procedural certainty over policy riders. Full enactment would avert any funding gap for the start of fiscal year 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,340Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional leaders advanced short-term funding measures well ahead of the September 30 deadline, reducing the likelihood of an appropriations lapse on October 1. The House passed a clean continuing resolution in July to maintain operations through early December at prior-year levels, while the Senate approved a similar measure on August 8 by a 90-6 bipartisan vote extending funding through December 11. These steps follow prior-year shutdown disruptions and reflect efforts to provide stability before midterm elections, with both chambers prioritizing procedural certainty over policy riders. Full enactment would avert any funding gap for the start of fiscal year 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,340Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congressional leaders advanced short-term funding measures well ahead of the September 30 deadline, reducing the likelihood of an appropriations lapse on October 1. The House passed a clean continuing resolution in July to maintain operations through early December at prior-year levels, while the Senate approved a similar measure on August 8 by a 90-6 bipartisan vote extending funding through December 11. These steps follow prior-year shutdown disruptions and reflect efforts to provide stability before midterm elections, with both chambers prioritizing procedural certainty over policy riders. Full enactment would avert any funding gap for the start of fiscal year 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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