Anthropic’s latest Claude releases, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, reflecting rapid gains from enhanced reasoning, tool use, and adaptive techniques on the 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning math, physics, biology, and humanities. This positions Claude well ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (~55%) and Meta’s Muse Spark models (~48–62%), underscoring Anthropic’s edge in frontier knowledge tasks that resist saturation. Traders are pricing in further incremental progress through additional 2026 releases, though the benchmark’s design leaves substantial headroom and protocol differences (tools versus closed-book) introduce evaluation variability that could influence final 2026 highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$109,548 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
55 %+
92%
60 %+
41%
65 %+
19%
70 %+
12%
75 % ou plus
5%
$109,548 Vol.
55 %+
$27,997 Vol.
92%
60 %+
$46,964 Vol.
41%
65 %+
$28,321 Vol.
19%
70 %+
$4,458 Vol.
12%
75 % ou plus
$1,808 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude releases, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, reflecting rapid gains from enhanced reasoning, tool use, and adaptive techniques on the 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning math, physics, biology, and humanities. This positions Claude well ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (~55%) and Meta’s Muse Spark models (~48–62%), underscoring Anthropic’s edge in frontier knowledge tasks that resist saturation. Traders are pricing in further incremental progress through additional 2026 releases, though the benchmark’s design leaves substantial headroom and protocol differences (tools versus closed-book) introduce evaluation variability that could influence final 2026 highs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Volume
$109,548Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSource de résolution
https://agi.safe.ai/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude releases, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, reflecting rapid gains from enhanced reasoning, tool use, and adaptive techniques on the 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning math, physics, biology, and humanities. This positions Claude well ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (~55%) and Meta’s Muse Spark models (~48–62%), underscoring Anthropic’s edge in frontier knowledge tasks that resist saturation. Traders are pricing in further incremental progress through additional 2026 releases, though the benchmark’s design leaves substantial headroom and protocol differences (tools versus closed-book) introduce evaluation variability that could influence final 2026 highs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$109,548Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSource de résolution
https://agi.safe.ai/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s latest Claude releases, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, reflecting rapid gains from enhanced reasoning, tool use, and adaptive techniques on the 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning math, physics, biology, and humanities. This positions Claude well ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (~55%) and Meta’s Muse Spark models (~48–62%), underscoring Anthropic’s edge in frontier knowledge tasks that resist saturation. Traders are pricing in further incremental progress through additional 2026 releases, though the benchmark’s design leaves substantial headroom and protocol differences (tools versus closed-book) introduce evaluation variability that could influence final 2026 highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le score le plus élevé obtenu à l’Ultime Exam de l’Humanité en 2026 sera-t-il de 60% ou plus ?
44%
Oui
Le score le plus élevé obtenu par un modèle OpenAI lors du Dernier Examen de l’Humanité en 2026 sera-t-il de 55 % ou plus ?
77%
Oui
Le score le plus élevé obtenu par un modèle Meta à l’ultime examen de l’humanité en 2026 sera-t-il de 55 % ou plus ?
28%
Oui
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