Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, including Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead HLE leaderboards with scores of 55–65% as of mid-August 2026, driven by iterative gains in adaptive reasoning, extended “thinking” modes, and tool-use integration that improve performance on graduate-level questions across math, physics, biology, and humanities. These releases build on earlier 2025 progress where frontier models climbed from single digits to the mid-30% range on the 2,500-question benchmark created by the Center for AI Safety and Scale AI. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series and Google’s Gemini 3 variants trail by 5–15 points, reflecting Anthropic’s edge in scaling deep reasoning techniques amid a competitive landscape where small benchmark gains signal meaningful capability jumps. Traders are watching for any remaining 2026 Claude updates or hybrid agentic systems before year-end that could extend this lead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$59,670 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
55 %+
86%
60 %+
65%
65 %+
17%
70 %+
8%
75 % ou plus
4%
$59,670 Vol.
55 %+
$15,434 Vol.
86%
60 %+
$23,397 Vol.
65%
65 %+
$17,330 Vol.
17%
70 %+
$2,505 Vol.
8%
75 % ou plus
$1,004 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, including Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead HLE leaderboards with scores of 55–65% as of mid-August 2026, driven by iterative gains in adaptive reasoning, extended “thinking” modes, and tool-use integration that improve performance on graduate-level questions across math, physics, biology, and humanities. These releases build on earlier 2025 progress where frontier models climbed from single digits to the mid-30% range on the 2,500-question benchmark created by the Center for AI Safety and Scale AI. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series and Google’s Gemini 3 variants trail by 5–15 points, reflecting Anthropic’s edge in scaling deep reasoning techniques amid a competitive landscape where small benchmark gains signal meaningful capability jumps. Traders are watching for any remaining 2026 Claude updates or hybrid agentic systems before year-end that could extend this lead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Volume
$59,670Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSource de résolution
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, including Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead HLE leaderboards with scores of 55–65% as of mid-August 2026, driven by iterative gains in adaptive reasoning, extended “thinking” modes, and tool-use integration that improve performance on graduate-level questions across math, physics, biology, and humanities. These releases build on earlier 2025 progress where frontier models climbed from single digits to the mid-30% range on the 2,500-question benchmark created by the Center for AI Safety and Scale AI. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series and Google’s Gemini 3 variants trail by 5–15 points, reflecting Anthropic’s edge in scaling deep reasoning techniques amid a competitive landscape where small benchmark gains signal meaningful capability jumps. Traders are watching for any remaining 2026 Claude updates or hybrid agentic systems before year-end that could extend this lead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$59,670Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSource de résolution
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, including Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead HLE leaderboards with scores of 55–65% as of mid-August 2026, driven by iterative gains in adaptive reasoning, extended “thinking” modes, and tool-use integration that improve performance on graduate-level questions across math, physics, biology, and humanities. These releases build on earlier 2025 progress where frontier models climbed from single digits to the mid-30% range on the 2,500-question benchmark created by the Center for AI Safety and Scale AI. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series and Google’s Gemini 3 variants trail by 5–15 points, reflecting Anthropic’s edge in scaling deep reasoning techniques amid a competitive landscape where small benchmark gains signal meaningful capability jumps. Traders are watching for any remaining 2026 Claude updates or hybrid agentic systems before year-end that could extend this lead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le score le plus élevé obtenu à l’Ultime Exam de l’Humanité en 2026 sera-t-il de 60% ou plus ?
63%
Oui
Le score le plus élevé obtenu par un modèle OpenAI à l’Ultime Examen de l’Humanité en 2026 sera-t-il de 50 % ou plus ?
88%
Oui
Le score le plus élevé obtenu par un modèle Meta à l’ultime examen de l’humanité en 2026 sera-t-il de 55 % ou plus ?
39%
Oui
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