Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 5?
21°C 56%
22°C 20%
20°C 19%
23°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 juil. 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
19%
21°C
56%
22°C
20%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 56%
22°C 20%
20°C 19%
23°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 juil. 2026
17°C or below
$56 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$167 Vol.
1%
19°C
$274 Vol.
2%
20°C
$199 Vol.
19%
21°C
$348 Vol.
56%
22°C
$375 Vol.
20%
23°C
$142 Vol.
4%
24°C
$106 Vol.
1%
25°C
$158 Vol.
1%
26°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$58 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,944Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,944Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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