Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and numerical ensembles project a daily maximum near 39°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and strong solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with peak summer climatology for the region, where historical analogs show frequent highs of 37–39°C when subsidence suppresses convection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 39°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs and real-time observations confirming the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day thunderstorm development or localized measurement differences at official stations that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 12 août ?
39°C 100.0%
31°C ou moins <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$48,382 Vol.
$48,382 Vol.
12 août 2026
31°C ou moins
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C
Non
39°C
Oui
40°C
Non
41°C ou plus
Non
39°C 100.0%
31°C ou moins <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$48,382 Vol.
$48,382 Vol.
12 août 2026
31°C ou moins
$471 Vol.
Non
32°C
$450 Vol.
Non
33°C
$903 Vol.
Non
34°C
$1,825 Vol.
Non
35°C
$2,607 Vol.
Non
36°C
$4,594 Vol.
Non
37°C
$8,864 Vol.
Non
38°C
$7,473 Vol.
Non
39°C
$6,943 Vol.
Oui
40°C
$9,324 Vol.
Non
41°C ou plus
$4,928 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and numerical ensembles project a daily maximum near 39°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and strong solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with peak summer climatology for the region, where historical analogs show frequent highs of 37–39°C when subsidence suppresses convection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 39°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs and real-time observations confirming the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day thunderstorm development or localized measurement differences at official stations that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$48,382Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and numerical ensembles project a daily maximum near 39°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and strong solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with peak summer climatology for the region, where historical analogs show frequent highs of 37–39°C when subsidence suppresses convection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 39°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs and real-time observations confirming the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day thunderstorm development or localized measurement differences at official stations that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,382Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and numerical ensembles project a daily maximum near 39°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and strong solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with peak summer climatology for the region, where historical analogs show frequent highs of 37–39°C when subsidence suppresses convection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 39°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs and real-time observations confirming the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day thunderstorm development or localized measurement differences at official stations that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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