Traders see closely matched probabilities across 31–33°C because short-range ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on July 9 show high uncertainty in peak daytime temperatures amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions. Afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover can suppress maxima by 1–2°C, while clearer, drier air masses allow readings to reach 33°C or higher under strong solar heating. Historical July averages near 32°C, combined with urban heat-island effects and variable humidity, keep the distribution tight around these thresholds, with new model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration likely to shift sentiment as the date approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Guangzhou on July 9?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 9?
34°C or higher 34%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
31°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 juil. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C or higher
34%
34°C or higher 34%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
31°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 juil. 2026
24°C or below
$445 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$523 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$54 Vol.
2%
30°C
$9 Vol.
4%
31°C
$42 Vol.
18%
32°C
$16 Vol.
21%
33°C
$142 Vol.
26%
34°C or higher
$171 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched probabilities across 31–33°C because short-range ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on July 9 show high uncertainty in peak daytime temperatures amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions. Afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover can suppress maxima by 1–2°C, while clearer, drier air masses allow readings to reach 33°C or higher under strong solar heating. Historical July averages near 32°C, combined with urban heat-island effects and variable humidity, keep the distribution tight around these thresholds, with new model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration likely to shift sentiment as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,827Date de fin
9 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched probabilities across 31–33°C because short-range ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on July 9 show high uncertainty in peak daytime temperatures amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions. Afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover can suppress maxima by 1–2°C, while clearer, drier air masses allow readings to reach 33°C or higher under strong solar heating. Historical July averages near 32°C, combined with urban heat-island effects and variable humidity, keep the distribution tight around these thresholds, with new model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration likely to shift sentiment as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,827Date de fin
9 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched probabilities across 31–33°C because short-range ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on July 9 show high uncertainty in peak daytime temperatures amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions. Afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover can suppress maxima by 1–2°C, while clearer, drier air masses allow readings to reach 33°C or higher under strong solar heating. Historical July averages near 32°C, combined with urban heat-island effects and variable humidity, keep the distribution tight around these thresholds, with new model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration likely to shift sentiment as the date approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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