Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as the National Weather Service points to a daily high in the upper 80s for Houston on June 17, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a moderating southerly flow that has limited daytime heating below the long-term June normal of 92–93°F at Hobby Airport. This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability on 88–89°F, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time observational data and ensemble runs showing suppressed maxima around 84–89°F amid 70%+ humidity and precipitation chances. Historical analogs from similar early-summer patterns confirm that convective activity often caps highs 3–5°F below climatology. A realistic shift could occur if afternoon clearing accelerates or steering patterns allow stronger subsidence, pushing readings toward 90–92°F and altering the outcome before official resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on June 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 17?
88-89°F 99.5%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
77°F ou moins <1%
$43,244 Vol.
$43,244 Vol.
17 juin 2026
77°F ou moins
<1%
78-79 °F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85 °F
<1%
30-30,5 °C
<1%
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 99.5%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
77°F ou moins <1%
$43,244 Vol.
$43,244 Vol.
17 juin 2026
77°F ou moins
$192 Vol.
<1%
78-79 °F
$5,285 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$4,456 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,238 Vol.
<1%
84-85 °F
$5,769 Vol.
<1%
30-30,5 °C
$5,333 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$5,707 Vol.
100%
90-91°F
$4,166 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$4,751 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$2,046 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$1,325 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as the National Weather Service points to a daily high in the upper 80s for Houston on June 17, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a moderating southerly flow that has limited daytime heating below the long-term June normal of 92–93°F at Hobby Airport. This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability on 88–89°F, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time observational data and ensemble runs showing suppressed maxima around 84–89°F amid 70%+ humidity and precipitation chances. Historical analogs from similar early-summer patterns confirm that convective activity often caps highs 3–5°F below climatology. A realistic shift could occur if afternoon clearing accelerates or steering patterns allow stronger subsidence, pushing readings toward 90–92°F and altering the outcome before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Volume
$43,244Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 9:08 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as the National Weather Service points to a daily high in the upper 80s for Houston on June 17, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a moderating southerly flow that has limited daytime heating below the long-term June normal of 92–93°F at Hobby Airport. This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability on 88–89°F, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time observational data and ensemble runs showing suppressed maxima around 84–89°F amid 70%+ humidity and precipitation chances. Historical analogs from similar early-summer patterns confirm that convective activity often caps highs 3–5°F below climatology. A realistic shift could occur if afternoon clearing accelerates or steering patterns allow stronger subsidence, pushing readings toward 90–92°F and altering the outcome before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,244Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 9:08 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as the National Weather Service points to a daily high in the upper 80s for Houston on June 17, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a moderating southerly flow that has limited daytime heating below the long-term June normal of 92–93°F at Hobby Airport. This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability on 88–89°F, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time observational data and ensemble runs showing suppressed maxima around 84–89°F amid 70%+ humidity and precipitation chances. Historical analogs from similar early-summer patterns confirm that convective activity often caps highs 3–5°F below climatology. A realistic shift could occur if afternoon clearing accelerates or steering patterns allow stronger subsidence, pushing readings toward 90–92°F and altering the outcome before official resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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