Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and regional meteorological services point to thundery showers and persistent cloud cover over Guangzhou on June 18, which is expected to suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling amid high humidity. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29°C or 30°C, as subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-June introduce variability in convective activity that can shift daily highs by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity of rainfall. Historical climatology shows June averages near 31°C, but active weather patterns this week have already produced slightly cooler outcomes, keeping probabilities distributed across the 28–30°C range while lower odds on extremes reflect low likelihood of clear skies or intense heating. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 18 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 18 juin ?
29°C 31%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
22%
29°C
31%
30°C
26%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C ou plus
2%
29°C 31%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
23°C ou moins
$151 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$137 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$152 Vol.
1%
26°C
$835 Vol.
1%
27°C
$869 Vol.
6%
28°C
$859 Vol.
22%
29°C
$1,852 Vol.
31%
30°C
$664 Vol.
26%
31°C
$546 Vol.
14%
32°C
$894 Vol.
3%
33°C ou plus
$378 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and regional meteorological services point to thundery showers and persistent cloud cover over Guangzhou on June 18, which is expected to suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling amid high humidity. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29°C or 30°C, as subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-June introduce variability in convective activity that can shift daily highs by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity of rainfall. Historical climatology shows June averages near 31°C, but active weather patterns this week have already produced slightly cooler outcomes, keeping probabilities distributed across the 28–30°C range while lower odds on extremes reflect low likelihood of clear skies or intense heating. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$7,338Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and regional meteorological services point to thundery showers and persistent cloud cover over Guangzhou on June 18, which is expected to suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling amid high humidity. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29°C or 30°C, as subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-June introduce variability in convective activity that can shift daily highs by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity of rainfall. Historical climatology shows June averages near 31°C, but active weather patterns this week have already produced slightly cooler outcomes, keeping probabilities distributed across the 28–30°C range while lower odds on extremes reflect low likelihood of clear skies or intense heating. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,338Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and regional meteorological services point to thundery showers and persistent cloud cover over Guangzhou on June 18, which is expected to suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling amid high humidity. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29°C or 30°C, as subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-June introduce variability in convective activity that can shift daily highs by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity of rainfall. Historical climatology shows June averages near 31°C, but active weather patterns this week have already produced slightly cooler outcomes, keeping probabilities distributed across the 28–30°C range while lower odds on extremes reflect low likelihood of clear skies or intense heating. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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