Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast Etesian winds limiting daytime heating over Istanbul on September 10, supporting market-implied odds favoring 25–26°C highs. These align with typical mid-September climatology, where average maxima hover near 26°C under clear skies and low humidity, with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection expected to suppress further warming. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in short-range forecasts—where slight steering pattern shifts could add or subtract 1–2°C—against the low probability of extremes, as no anomalous heat signals appear in current observations. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine peak temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 10 septembre ?
25°C 44%
26°C 26%
24°C 14%
27°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
6%
23°C
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
44%
26°C
26%
27°C
8%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C ou plus
4%
25°C 44%
26°C 26%
24°C 14%
27°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$43 Vol.
6%
23°C
$58 Vol.
5%
24°C
$202 Vol.
14%
25°C
$92 Vol.
44%
26°C
$64 Vol.
26%
27°C
$33 Vol.
8%
28°C
$12 Vol.
4%
29°C
$14 Vol.
3%
30°C
$60 Vol.
3%
31°C
$140 Vol.
4%
32°C ou plus
$140 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast Etesian winds limiting daytime heating over Istanbul on September 10, supporting market-implied odds favoring 25–26°C highs. These align with typical mid-September climatology, where average maxima hover near 26°C under clear skies and low humidity, with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection expected to suppress further warming. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in short-range forecasts—where slight steering pattern shifts could add or subtract 1–2°C—against the low probability of extremes, as no anomalous heat signals appear in current observations. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine peak temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$859Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast Etesian winds limiting daytime heating over Istanbul on September 10, supporting market-implied odds favoring 25–26°C highs. These align with typical mid-September climatology, where average maxima hover near 26°C under clear skies and low humidity, with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection expected to suppress further warming. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in short-range forecasts—where slight steering pattern shifts could add or subtract 1–2°C—against the low probability of extremes, as no anomalous heat signals appear in current observations. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine peak temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$859Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast Etesian winds limiting daytime heating over Istanbul on September 10, supporting market-implied odds favoring 25–26°C highs. These align with typical mid-September climatology, where average maxima hover near 26°C under clear skies and low humidity, with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection expected to suppress further warming. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in short-range forecasts—where slight steering pattern shifts could add or subtract 1–2°C—against the low probability of extremes, as no anomalous heat signals appear in current observations. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine peak temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes