Latest meteorological models indicate a daytime high of 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 10, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25°C outcome at 45% implied probability. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland location typically moderates September maxima near the 23°C climatological average, while the ongoing rainy season promotes afternoon convective cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress peak solar heating and cap temperatures. Recent forecast runs show modest model spread, with some guidance reaching 25–26°C under clearer conditions and others holding near 22–23°C amid higher precipitation chances, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26°C. Updated model outputs and official monitoring agency briefings will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 10 septembre ?
25°C 45%
24°C 26%
26°C 22%
23°C 5%
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
26%
25°C
45%
26°C
22%
27°C ou plus
4%
25°C 45%
24°C 26%
26°C 22%
23°C 5%
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
26%
25°C
45%
26°C
22%
27°C ou plus
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological models indicate a daytime high of 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 10, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25°C outcome at 45% implied probability. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland location typically moderates September maxima near the 23°C climatological average, while the ongoing rainy season promotes afternoon convective cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress peak solar heating and cap temperatures. Recent forecast runs show modest model spread, with some guidance reaching 25–26°C under clearer conditions and others holding near 22–23°C amid higher precipitation chances, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26°C. Updated model outputs and official monitoring agency briefings will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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