**Trader consensus in the Mexico City lowest-temperature market centers on 13–14°C outcomes, reflecting official forecasts and observed conditions shaped by the city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240–2,300 m).** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from the Mexican monsoon and tropical waves limited nighttime radiative cooling on September 9, keeping the minimum from dropping below the seasonal norm of about 13–15°C. Hourly data and station reports showed overnight lows reaching approximately 12–14°C amid overcast skies and light rain, while daytime highs climbed to 22–25°C under partly clearing conditions. These factors aligned with pre-event National Meteorological Service guidance of a 13–15°C minimum, producing the current market-implied probabilities that heavily favor the 13–14°C range over colder extremes. Resolution will depend on the final verified station reading, with any late adjustments to model consensus or observational data capable of shifting the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Mexico le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Mexico le 9 septembre ?
14°C 99%
13°C 19%
12°C 9%
11°C 7%
$1,108 Vol.
$1,108 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
Non
7°C
Non
8°C
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Oui
15°C
Non
16°C ou plus
Non
14°C 99%
13°C 19%
12°C 9%
11°C 7%
$1,108 Vol.
$1,108 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
$120 Vol.
Non
7°C
$90 Vol.
Non
8°C
$125 Vol.
Non
9°C
$111 Vol.
Non
10°C
$50 Vol.
Non
11°C
$25 Vol.
Non
12°C
$25 Vol.
Non
13°C
$35 Vol.
Non
14°C
$135 Vol.
Oui
15°C
$319 Vol.
Non
16°C ou plus
$75 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Mexico City lowest-temperature market centers on 13–14°C outcomes, reflecting official forecasts and observed conditions shaped by the city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240–2,300 m).** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from the Mexican monsoon and tropical waves limited nighttime radiative cooling on September 9, keeping the minimum from dropping below the seasonal norm of about 13–15°C. Hourly data and station reports showed overnight lows reaching approximately 12–14°C amid overcast skies and light rain, while daytime highs climbed to 22–25°C under partly clearing conditions. These factors aligned with pre-event National Meteorological Service guidance of a 13–15°C minimum, producing the current market-implied probabilities that heavily favor the 13–14°C range over colder extremes. Resolution will depend on the final verified station reading, with any late adjustments to model consensus or observational data capable of shifting the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,108Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Mexico City lowest-temperature market centers on 13–14°C outcomes, reflecting official forecasts and observed conditions shaped by the city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240–2,300 m).** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from the Mexican monsoon and tropical waves limited nighttime radiative cooling on September 9, keeping the minimum from dropping below the seasonal norm of about 13–15°C. Hourly data and station reports showed overnight lows reaching approximately 12–14°C amid overcast skies and light rain, while daytime highs climbed to 22–25°C under partly clearing conditions. These factors aligned with pre-event National Meteorological Service guidance of a 13–15°C minimum, producing the current market-implied probabilities that heavily favor the 13–14°C range over colder extremes. Resolution will depend on the final verified station reading, with any late adjustments to model consensus or observational data capable of shifting the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,108Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus in the Mexico City lowest-temperature market centers on 13–14°C outcomes, reflecting official forecasts and observed conditions shaped by the city’s high-elevation basin setting (roughly 2,240–2,300 m).** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from the Mexican monsoon and tropical waves limited nighttime radiative cooling on September 9, keeping the minimum from dropping below the seasonal norm of about 13–15°C. Hourly data and station reports showed overnight lows reaching approximately 12–14°C amid overcast skies and light rain, while daytime highs climbed to 22–25°C under partly clearing conditions. These factors aligned with pre-event National Meteorological Service guidance of a 13–15°C minimum, producing the current market-implied probabilities that heavily favor the 13–14°C range over colder extremes. Resolution will depend on the final verified station reading, with any late adjustments to model consensus or observational data capable of shifting the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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