**Forecast uncertainty over afternoon peak temperatures amid widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall is keeping the 25°C-or-higher and 24°C outcomes nearly tied at 51% and 43.5% implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m moderates daytime maxima, while September’s rainy-season pattern favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that typically develop after midday, suppressing insolation and capping surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance calls for 24–26°C under variable skies, yet several numerical models show persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and 40–80% rain chances that align more closely with 22–24°C peaks. Light variable winds and high humidity further limit warming potential. Resolution hinges on whether any clearing allows brief stronger heating or persistent convection keeps readings at or below 24°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 9 septembre ?
25°C ou plus 49%
24°C 45%
23°C 7%
22°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$11,686 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,686 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
45%
25°C ou plus
49%
25°C ou plus 49%
24°C 45%
23°C 7%
22°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$11,686 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,686 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$125 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,418 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$884 Vol.
2%
23°C
$1,307 Vol.
7%
24°C
$3,949 Vol.
45%
25°C ou plus
$2,792 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty over afternoon peak temperatures amid widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall is keeping the 25°C-or-higher and 24°C outcomes nearly tied at 51% and 43.5% implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m moderates daytime maxima, while September’s rainy-season pattern favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that typically develop after midday, suppressing insolation and capping surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance calls for 24–26°C under variable skies, yet several numerical models show persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and 40–80% rain chances that align more closely with 22–24°C peaks. Light variable winds and high humidity further limit warming potential. Resolution hinges on whether any clearing allows brief stronger heating or persistent convection keeps readings at or below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,686Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty over afternoon peak temperatures amid widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall is keeping the 25°C-or-higher and 24°C outcomes nearly tied at 51% and 43.5% implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m moderates daytime maxima, while September’s rainy-season pattern favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that typically develop after midday, suppressing insolation and capping surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance calls for 24–26°C under variable skies, yet several numerical models show persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and 40–80% rain chances that align more closely with 22–24°C peaks. Light variable winds and high humidity further limit warming potential. Resolution hinges on whether any clearing allows brief stronger heating or persistent convection keeps readings at or below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,686Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty over afternoon peak temperatures amid widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall is keeping the 25°C-or-higher and 24°C outcomes nearly tied at 51% and 43.5% implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m moderates daytime maxima, while September’s rainy-season pattern favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that typically develop after midday, suppressing insolation and capping surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance calls for 24–26°C under variable skies, yet several numerical models show persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and 40–80% rain chances that align more closely with 22–24°C peaks. Light variable winds and high humidity further limit warming potential. Resolution hinges on whether any clearing allows brief stronger heating or persistent convection keeps readings at or below 24°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes