Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions consistently project a daytime high of 32–34°C in Jinan for August 21, aligning with the month’s climatological average of roughly 30–32°C and recent observations of persistent heat across Shandong Province. This places 26°C or higher well within normal variability, driving the 99.4% market-implied odds as traders weigh verified numerical weather predictions against the low likelihood of an unseasonal cold intrusion. Only an unforeseen rapid frontal passage or significant model bias could drop the maximum below that threshold, scenarios historical data show occur infrequently this late in the season.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Jinan le 21 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Jinan le 21 août ?
26°C or higher 99.4%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
16°C or below
$105 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$110 Vol.
1%
24°C
$110 Vol.
1%
25°C
$110 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$338 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions consistently project a daytime high of 32–34°C in Jinan for August 21, aligning with the month’s climatological average of roughly 30–32°C and recent observations of persistent heat across Shandong Province. This places 26°C or higher well within normal variability, driving the 99.4% market-implied odds as traders weigh verified numerical weather predictions against the low likelihood of an unseasonal cold intrusion. Only an unforeseen rapid frontal passage or significant model bias could drop the maximum below that threshold, scenarios historical data show occur infrequently this late in the season.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,400Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions consistently project a daytime high of 32–34°C in Jinan for August 21, aligning with the month’s climatological average of roughly 30–32°C and recent observations of persistent heat across Shandong Province. This places 26°C or higher well within normal variability, driving the 99.4% market-implied odds as traders weigh verified numerical weather predictions against the low likelihood of an unseasonal cold intrusion. Only an unforeseen rapid frontal passage or significant model bias could drop the maximum below that threshold, scenarios historical data show occur infrequently this late in the season.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,400Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions consistently project a daytime high of 32–34°C in Jinan for August 21, aligning with the month’s climatological average of roughly 30–32°C and recent observations of persistent heat across Shandong Province. This places 26°C or higher well within normal variability, driving the 99.4% market-implied odds as traders weigh verified numerical weather predictions against the low likelihood of an unseasonal cold intrusion. Only an unforeseen rapid frontal passage or significant model bias could drop the maximum below that threshold, scenarios historical data show occur infrequently this late in the season.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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