Recent forecast models for São Paulo on August 2 project a daytime maximum near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation chances, establishing this as the market's leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Typical August highs average 24–25°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter, but recent model runs show modest warming from high-pressure dominance and reduced cloud cover, supporting the 29°C outcome at 26.5%. Official monitoring from sources like INMET and global ensembles indicates limited intensification potential, with 27°C holding 19% odds as a plausible cooler scenario if onshore flow increases. Traders weigh these atmospheric steering patterns and short-range updates ahead of final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 2 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 2 août ?
28°C 46%
29°C 28%
27°C 19%
26°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
19%
28°C
46%
29°C
28%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 28%
27°C 19%
26°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
22°C or below
$170 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$170 Vol.
2%
26°C
$209 Vol.
7%
27°C
$365 Vol.
19%
28°C
$4,146 Vol.
46%
29°C
$854 Vol.
28%
30°C
$251 Vol.
3%
31°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$211 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for São Paulo on August 2 project a daytime maximum near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation chances, establishing this as the market's leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Typical August highs average 24–25°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter, but recent model runs show modest warming from high-pressure dominance and reduced cloud cover, supporting the 29°C outcome at 26.5%. Official monitoring from sources like INMET and global ensembles indicates limited intensification potential, with 27°C holding 19% odds as a plausible cooler scenario if onshore flow increases. Traders weigh these atmospheric steering patterns and short-range updates ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$6,815Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for São Paulo on August 2 project a daytime maximum near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation chances, establishing this as the market's leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Typical August highs average 24–25°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter, but recent model runs show modest warming from high-pressure dominance and reduced cloud cover, supporting the 29°C outcome at 26.5%. Official monitoring from sources like INMET and global ensembles indicates limited intensification potential, with 27°C holding 19% odds as a plausible cooler scenario if onshore flow increases. Traders weigh these atmospheric steering patterns and short-range updates ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,815Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for São Paulo on August 2 project a daytime maximum near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation chances, establishing this as the market's leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Typical August highs average 24–25°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter, but recent model runs show modest warming from high-pressure dominance and reduced cloud cover, supporting the 29°C outcome at 26.5%. Official monitoring from sources like INMET and global ensembles indicates limited intensification potential, with 27°C holding 19% odds as a plausible cooler scenario if onshore flow increases. Traders weigh these atmospheric steering patterns and short-range updates ahead of final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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