Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a maximum of 31°C for Tel Aviv on August 22, with surrounding models from AccuWeather and others clustering between 31–32°C amid typical late-summer high pressure, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover. These stable atmospheric conditions—warm advection from the east and low humidity—support the market's strong preference for 33°C (65%) and 32°C (30%), reflecting traders' assessment of slight model spread and historical August peaks near 32°C. No major heatwave or cooling front is expected in the next 48 hours, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 22 août ?
33°C 65%
32°C 30%
34°C 8%
31°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
30%
33°C
65%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
32°C 30%
34°C 8%
31°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
30%
33°C
65%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a maximum of 31°C for Tel Aviv on August 22, with surrounding models from AccuWeather and others clustering between 31–32°C amid typical late-summer high pressure, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover. These stable atmospheric conditions—warm advection from the east and low humidity—support the market's strong preference for 33°C (65%) and 32°C (30%), reflecting traders' assessment of slight model spread and historical August peaks near 32°C. No major heatwave or cooling front is expected in the next 48 hours, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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