**Forecast consensus across multiple models positions 32°C as the most likely daily high for Tel Aviv on September 4, 2026, driving the 70% market-implied probability.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the Met Office, Meteoprog, and regional numerical weather prediction runs indicate a maximum near 31–32°C under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds of 5–10 km/h, and negligible precipitation. Typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions—stable subtropical high pressure, low cloud cover, and seasonal sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C—support this range without significant diurnal amplification or cooling from advection. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with only modest 1°C uncertainty tied to exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for Tel Aviv (average high ~31°C) further anchors trader expectations around these values, while the low probabilities assigned to 33°C or 31°C reflect the narrow forecast envelope and limited upside potential absent unexpected synoptic shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 4 septembre ?
32°C 70%
31°C 19%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
19%
32°C
70%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 70%
31°C 19%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
$597 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$347 Vol.
1%
30°C
$202 Vol.
3%
31°C
$835 Vol.
19%
32°C
$1,633 Vol.
70%
33°C
$1,175 Vol.
11%
34°C
$169 Vol.
2%
35°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$455 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
38°C ou plus
$297 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus across multiple models positions 32°C as the most likely daily high for Tel Aviv on September 4, 2026, driving the 70% market-implied probability.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the Met Office, Meteoprog, and regional numerical weather prediction runs indicate a maximum near 31–32°C under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds of 5–10 km/h, and negligible precipitation. Typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions—stable subtropical high pressure, low cloud cover, and seasonal sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C—support this range without significant diurnal amplification or cooling from advection. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with only modest 1°C uncertainty tied to exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for Tel Aviv (average high ~31°C) further anchors trader expectations around these values, while the low probabilities assigned to 33°C or 31°C reflect the narrow forecast envelope and limited upside potential absent unexpected synoptic shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,408Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus across multiple models positions 32°C as the most likely daily high for Tel Aviv on September 4, 2026, driving the 70% market-implied probability.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the Met Office, Meteoprog, and regional numerical weather prediction runs indicate a maximum near 31–32°C under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds of 5–10 km/h, and negligible precipitation. Typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions—stable subtropical high pressure, low cloud cover, and seasonal sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C—support this range without significant diurnal amplification or cooling from advection. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with only modest 1°C uncertainty tied to exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for Tel Aviv (average high ~31°C) further anchors trader expectations around these values, while the low probabilities assigned to 33°C or 31°C reflect the narrow forecast envelope and limited upside potential absent unexpected synoptic shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,408Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus across multiple models positions 32°C as the most likely daily high for Tel Aviv on September 4, 2026, driving the 70% market-implied probability.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the Met Office, Meteoprog, and regional numerical weather prediction runs indicate a maximum near 31–32°C under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds of 5–10 km/h, and negligible precipitation. Typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions—stable subtropical high pressure, low cloud cover, and seasonal sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C—support this range without significant diurnal amplification or cooling from advection. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with only modest 1°C uncertainty tied to exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for Tel Aviv (average high ~31°C) further anchors trader expectations around these values, while the low probabilities assigned to 33°C or 31°C reflect the narrow forecast envelope and limited upside potential absent unexpected synoptic shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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