Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms over Shanghai on September 3, driven by persistent northeast monsoon flow and moderate humidity near 75-85%. These conditions limit daytime solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum in the narrow 29–31°C band. Subtle differences between 30°C and 31°C hinge on the precise timing and coverage of convective clouds versus any brief clearing that could allow slightly stronger surface heating. With no major typhoon or frontal passage expected, traders weigh ensemble spread in precipitation forecasts and historical September climatology, where similar setups rarely exceed 32°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether enhanced cloud cover or lighter winds tip the peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 3 septembre ?
30°C 37%
31°C 36%
28°C 11%
29°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
10%
30°C
37%
31°C
36%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 36%
28°C 11%
29°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
25°C or below
$590 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$138 Vol.
1%
27°C
$28 Vol.
1%
28°C
$42 Vol.
11%
29°C
$79 Vol.
10%
30°C
$204 Vol.
37%
31°C
$93 Vol.
36%
32°C
$150 Vol.
5%
33°C
$5 Vol.
1%
34°C
$5 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms over Shanghai on September 3, driven by persistent northeast monsoon flow and moderate humidity near 75-85%. These conditions limit daytime solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum in the narrow 29–31°C band. Subtle differences between 30°C and 31°C hinge on the precise timing and coverage of convective clouds versus any brief clearing that could allow slightly stronger surface heating. With no major typhoon or frontal passage expected, traders weigh ensemble spread in precipitation forecasts and historical September climatology, where similar setups rarely exceed 32°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether enhanced cloud cover or lighter winds tip the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,478Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms over Shanghai on September 3, driven by persistent northeast monsoon flow and moderate humidity near 75-85%. These conditions limit daytime solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum in the narrow 29–31°C band. Subtle differences between 30°C and 31°C hinge on the precise timing and coverage of convective clouds versus any brief clearing that could allow slightly stronger surface heating. With no major typhoon or frontal passage expected, traders weigh ensemble spread in precipitation forecasts and historical September climatology, where similar setups rarely exceed 32°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether enhanced cloud cover or lighter winds tip the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,478Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms over Shanghai on September 3, driven by persistent northeast monsoon flow and moderate humidity near 75-85%. These conditions limit daytime solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum in the narrow 29–31°C band. Subtle differences between 30°C and 31°C hinge on the precise timing and coverage of convective clouds versus any brief clearing that could allow slightly stronger surface heating. With no major typhoon or frontal passage expected, traders weigh ensemble spread in precipitation forecasts and historical September climatology, where similar setups rarely exceed 32°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether enhanced cloud cover or lighter winds tip the peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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