Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 84°F for New York City on September 3 amid a warm, humid air mass and 60% chance of showers or thunderstorms, driven by southwesterly flow and lingering effects from a stationary front. This supports the market's tightest probabilities on 82–85°F outcomes, as variable cloud cover, precipitation timing, and urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty around the exact daily peak. Above the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 80°F, current conditions reflect typical early-September variability, with traders weighing model consensus against potential cooling from heavier rain. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 3 septembre ?
82-83°F 33%
84-85°F 31%
86-87°F 15%
80-81°F 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 33%
84-85°F 31%
86-87°F 15%
80-81°F 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
75°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$40 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$12 Vol.
11%
82-83°F
$20 Vol.
33%
84-85°F
$77 Vol.
31%
86-87°F
$348 Vol.
15%
88-89°F
$20 Vol.
9%
90-91°F
$20 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$31 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 84°F for New York City on September 3 amid a warm, humid air mass and 60% chance of showers or thunderstorms, driven by southwesterly flow and lingering effects from a stationary front. This supports the market's tightest probabilities on 82–85°F outcomes, as variable cloud cover, precipitation timing, and urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty around the exact daily peak. Above the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 80°F, current conditions reflect typical early-September variability, with traders weighing model consensus against potential cooling from heavier rain. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$583Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 84°F for New York City on September 3 amid a warm, humid air mass and 60% chance of showers or thunderstorms, driven by southwesterly flow and lingering effects from a stationary front. This supports the market's tightest probabilities on 82–85°F outcomes, as variable cloud cover, precipitation timing, and urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty around the exact daily peak. Above the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 80°F, current conditions reflect typical early-September variability, with traders weighing model consensus against potential cooling from heavier rain. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$583Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 84°F for New York City on September 3 amid a warm, humid air mass and 60% chance of showers or thunderstorms, driven by southwesterly flow and lingering effects from a stationary front. This supports the market's tightest probabilities on 82–85°F outcomes, as variable cloud cover, precipitation timing, and urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty around the exact daily peak. Above the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 80°F, current conditions reflect typical early-September variability, with traders weighing model consensus against potential cooling from heavier rain. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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