Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a moderate high near 76–82°F in Los Angeles on September 3, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. Morning low clouds and fog are expected to clear by midday, followed by southwest winds around 10–15 mph that enhance cooling. This pattern aligns with climatological averages of 76–77°F for the date and explains why the 76–77°F outcome holds a 60% market-implied probability. Limited model spread and absence of offshore winds or upper-level ridging reduce the chance of warmer readings above 80°F. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations tomorrow will provide the final verification data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 3 septembre ?
76-77 °F 63%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 12%
80-81°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
65°F ou moins
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
12%
76-77 °F
63%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84°F ou plus
1%
76-77 °F 63%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 12%
80-81°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
65°F ou moins
$138 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$405 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$156 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$152 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$107 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$543 Vol.
12%
76-77 °F
$2,011 Vol.
63%
78-79°F
$990 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$259 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$63 Vol.
2%
84°F ou plus
$121 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a moderate high near 76–82°F in Los Angeles on September 3, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. Morning low clouds and fog are expected to clear by midday, followed by southwest winds around 10–15 mph that enhance cooling. This pattern aligns with climatological averages of 76–77°F for the date and explains why the 76–77°F outcome holds a 60% market-implied probability. Limited model spread and absence of offshore winds or upper-level ridging reduce the chance of warmer readings above 80°F. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations tomorrow will provide the final verification data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,945Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a moderate high near 76–82°F in Los Angeles on September 3, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. Morning low clouds and fog are expected to clear by midday, followed by southwest winds around 10–15 mph that enhance cooling. This pattern aligns with climatological averages of 76–77°F for the date and explains why the 76–77°F outcome holds a 60% market-implied probability. Limited model spread and absence of offshore winds or upper-level ridging reduce the chance of warmer readings above 80°F. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations tomorrow will provide the final verification data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,945Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a moderate high near 76–82°F in Los Angeles on September 3, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. Morning low clouds and fog are expected to clear by midday, followed by southwest winds around 10–15 mph that enhance cooling. This pattern aligns with climatological averages of 76–77°F for the date and explains why the 76–77°F outcome holds a 60% market-implied probability. Limited model spread and absence of offshore winds or upper-level ridging reduce the chance of warmer readings above 80°F. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations tomorrow will provide the final verification data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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