Recent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and AccuWeather indicate a northwest wind flow bringing milder spring air to Wellington on September 2, 2026, supporting a daily maximum near 14–16°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 16°C, reflecting typical early-spring conditions where average September highs reach about 15°C amid variable westerlies and occasional frontal passages. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no major low-pressure systems or cold outbreaks expected to suppress temperatures, though wind speeds near 20–25 mph could influence localized readings. Traders are weighting official MetService guidance and ensemble runs, which favor outcomes in the 15–17°C band as resolution approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wellington le 2 septembre ?
16°C 64%
15°C 19%
17°C 17%
18°C 3%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
19%
16°C
64%
17°C
17%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 64%
15°C 19%
17°C 17%
18°C 3%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
19%
16°C
64%
17°C
17%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and AccuWeather indicate a northwest wind flow bringing milder spring air to Wellington on September 2, 2026, supporting a daily maximum near 14–16°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 16°C, reflecting typical early-spring conditions where average September highs reach about 15°C amid variable westerlies and occasional frontal passages. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no major low-pressure systems or cold outbreaks expected to suppress temperatures, though wind speeds near 20–25 mph could influence localized readings. Traders are weighting official MetService guidance and ensemble runs, which favor outcomes in the 15–17°C band as resolution approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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