Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's overnight low on September 2 near 13–15 °C, consistent with the historical average of roughly 12–14 °C for early September in the city's high-elevation subtropical highland climate. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season are limiting radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply while also capping daytime maxima. This consensus around typical seasonal values drives the elevated implied probability for a 14 °C low. Outlier outcomes below 8 °C or above 18 °C remain lower-probability because no unusual cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative conditions are expected, and model runs show limited spread for this short-range period. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and next model cycles will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Mexico le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Mexico le 2 septembre ?
8°C ou moins 79%
18°C ou plus 78%
11°C 76%
12°C 74%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
79%
9°C
33%
10°C
-
11°C
76%
12°C
74%
13°C
74%
14°C
62%
15°C
74%
16°C
46%
17°C
45%
18°C ou plus
78%
8°C ou moins 79%
18°C ou plus 78%
11°C 76%
12°C 74%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
79%
9°C
$5 Vol.
33%
10°C
$20 Vol.
-
11°C
$15 Vol.
76%
12°C
$0 Vol.
74%
13°C
$0 Vol.
74%
14°C
$0 Vol.
62%
15°C
$0 Vol.
74%
16°C
$0 Vol.
46%
17°C
$0 Vol.
45%
18°C ou plus
$1 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's overnight low on September 2 near 13–15 °C, consistent with the historical average of roughly 12–14 °C for early September in the city's high-elevation subtropical highland climate. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season are limiting radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply while also capping daytime maxima. This consensus around typical seasonal values drives the elevated implied probability for a 14 °C low. Outlier outcomes below 8 °C or above 18 °C remain lower-probability because no unusual cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative conditions are expected, and model runs show limited spread for this short-range period. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and next model cycles will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$46Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's overnight low on September 2 near 13–15 °C, consistent with the historical average of roughly 12–14 °C for early September in the city's high-elevation subtropical highland climate. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season are limiting radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply while also capping daytime maxima. This consensus around typical seasonal values drives the elevated implied probability for a 14 °C low. Outlier outcomes below 8 °C or above 18 °C remain lower-probability because no unusual cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative conditions are expected, and model runs show limited spread for this short-range period. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and next model cycles will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's overnight low on September 2 near 13–15 °C, consistent with the historical average of roughly 12–14 °C for early September in the city's high-elevation subtropical highland climate. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season are limiting radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply while also capping daytime maxima. This consensus around typical seasonal values drives the elevated implied probability for a 14 °C low. Outlier outcomes below 8 °C or above 18 °C remain lower-probability because no unusual cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative conditions are expected, and model runs show limited spread for this short-range period. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and next model cycles will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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