Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 most likely in the 26–28°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Early September marks the seasonal transition from the East Asian summer monsoon, featuring increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating daytime highs near or slightly below late-August averages of 27–29°C. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity (85–90%) limit radiative heating while precipitation probabilities near 60–80% further cap peaks; ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 29°C absent clearer skies. Updated model runs ahead of landfall timing or pressure shifts will refine these estimates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 1er septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 1er septembre ?
27°C 32%
28°C 28%
26°C 26%
25°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
26%
27°C
32%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 32%
28°C 28%
26°C 26%
25°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
21°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$30 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$128 Vol.
26%
27°C
$126 Vol.
32%
28°C
$63 Vol.
28%
29°C
$64 Vol.
7%
30°C
$24 Vol.
7%
31°C or higher
$57 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 most likely in the 26–28°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Early September marks the seasonal transition from the East Asian summer monsoon, featuring increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating daytime highs near or slightly below late-August averages of 27–29°C. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity (85–90%) limit radiative heating while precipitation probabilities near 60–80% further cap peaks; ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 29°C absent clearer skies. Updated model runs ahead of landfall timing or pressure shifts will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$863Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 most likely in the 26–28°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Early September marks the seasonal transition from the East Asian summer monsoon, featuring increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating daytime highs near or slightly below late-August averages of 27–29°C. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity (85–90%) limit radiative heating while precipitation probabilities near 60–80% further cap peaks; ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 29°C absent clearer skies. Updated model runs ahead of landfall timing or pressure shifts will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$863Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 most likely in the 26–28°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Early September marks the seasonal transition from the East Asian summer monsoon, featuring increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating daytime highs near or slightly below late-August averages of 27–29°C. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity (85–90%) limit radiative heating while precipitation probabilities near 60–80% further cap peaks; ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 29°C absent clearer skies. Updated model runs ahead of landfall timing or pressure shifts will refine these estimates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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