Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1 near 30–31 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow and a modest chance of afternoon showers. This range aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs reach 28–29 °C amid the seasonal retreat of the Pacific high, though residual warmth from late-August ridging keeps values elevated. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on precise timing of cloud breaks and any convective cooling, with urban heat-island effects at the official station potentially adding 0.5–1 °C. Updated short-range model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 1er septembre ?
30°C 34%
31°C 26%
29°C 18%
32°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
18%
30°C
34%
31°C
26%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
31°C 26%
29°C 18%
32°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
26°C or below
$157 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$75 Vol.
6%
29°C
$214 Vol.
18%
30°C
$165 Vol.
34%
31°C
$186 Vol.
26%
32°C
$190 Vol.
11%
33°C
$56 Vol.
5%
34°C
$58 Vol.
4%
35°C
$25 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$36 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1 near 30–31 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow and a modest chance of afternoon showers. This range aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs reach 28–29 °C amid the seasonal retreat of the Pacific high, though residual warmth from late-August ridging keeps values elevated. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on precise timing of cloud breaks and any convective cooling, with urban heat-island effects at the official station potentially adding 0.5–1 °C. Updated short-range model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,158Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1 near 30–31 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow and a modest chance of afternoon showers. This range aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs reach 28–29 °C amid the seasonal retreat of the Pacific high, though residual warmth from late-August ridging keeps values elevated. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on precise timing of cloud breaks and any convective cooling, with urban heat-island effects at the official station potentially adding 0.5–1 °C. Updated short-range model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,158Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1 near 30–31 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow and a modest chance of afternoon showers. This range aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs reach 28–29 °C amid the seasonal retreat of the Pacific high, though residual warmth from late-August ridging keeps values elevated. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on precise timing of cloud breaks and any convective cooling, with urban heat-island effects at the official station potentially adding 0.5–1 °C. Updated short-range model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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