Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila's September 3 high will likely range 29–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with heavy cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 80–95% rain probability suppressing peak insolation and daytime heating. Historical September averages near 31–32°C are tempered by high humidity (80–90%) and frequent precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling and reduces solar radiation reaching the surface. Trader consensus around 30–31°C reflects model agreement on moderate steering winds and urban heat island effects in a strong El Niño year, though slight variations in rainfall timing or wind speed could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. PAGASA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours remain key resolution drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 3 septembre ?
31°C 30%
30°C 25%
29°C 16%
32°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
25%
31°C
30%
32°C
16%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 30%
30°C 25%
29°C 16%
32°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$7 Vol.
5%
28°C
$5 Vol.
9%
29°C
$4 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
25%
31°C
$0 Vol.
30%
32°C
$20 Vol.
16%
33°C
$30 Vol.
9%
34°C
$145 Vol.
2%
35°C ou plus
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila's September 3 high will likely range 29–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with heavy cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 80–95% rain probability suppressing peak insolation and daytime heating. Historical September averages near 31–32°C are tempered by high humidity (80–90%) and frequent precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling and reduces solar radiation reaching the surface. Trader consensus around 30–31°C reflects model agreement on moderate steering winds and urban heat island effects in a strong El Niño year, though slight variations in rainfall timing or wind speed could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. PAGASA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours remain key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$323Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila's September 3 high will likely range 29–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with heavy cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 80–95% rain probability suppressing peak insolation and daytime heating. Historical September averages near 31–32°C are tempered by high humidity (80–90%) and frequent precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling and reduces solar radiation reaching the surface. Trader consensus around 30–31°C reflects model agreement on moderate steering winds and urban heat island effects in a strong El Niño year, though slight variations in rainfall timing or wind speed could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. PAGASA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours remain key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$323Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila's September 3 high will likely range 29–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with heavy cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 80–95% rain probability suppressing peak insolation and daytime heating. Historical September averages near 31–32°C are tempered by high humidity (80–90%) and frequent precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling and reduces solar radiation reaching the surface. Trader consensus around 30–31°C reflects model agreement on moderate steering winds and urban heat island effects in a strong El Niño year, though slight variations in rainfall timing or wind speed could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. PAGASA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours remain key resolution drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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