An approaching cut-off low pressure system is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Cape Town’s September 3 maximum temperature, with forecasts converging on 14–17 °C amid rain, strong southeasterly winds, and reduced insolation. Official guidance highlights cooler, wetter, and windier conditions linked to this system, which favors the 15–16 °C cluster (market-implied odds near 60 % combined) while leaving room for modest model spread on timing and intensity. Persistent cloud cover and enhanced mixing from 20–40 km/h gusts limit daytime warming relative to surrounding dates, yet variations in exact rainfall totals and wind strength across ensembles keep 14 °C and 17 °C probabilities nearly equal. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée au Cap le 3 septembre ?
16°C 34%
15°C 26%
17°C 24%
14°C 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
11%
14°C
23%
15°C
26%
16°C
34%
17°C
24%
18°C
10%
19°C
9%
20°C ou plus
1%
16°C 34%
15°C 26%
17°C 24%
14°C 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$5 Vol.
23%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
34%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$20 Vol.
10%
19°C
$22 Vol.
9%
20°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An approaching cut-off low pressure system is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Cape Town’s September 3 maximum temperature, with forecasts converging on 14–17 °C amid rain, strong southeasterly winds, and reduced insolation. Official guidance highlights cooler, wetter, and windier conditions linked to this system, which favors the 15–16 °C cluster (market-implied odds near 60 % combined) while leaving room for modest model spread on timing and intensity. Persistent cloud cover and enhanced mixing from 20–40 km/h gusts limit daytime warming relative to surrounding dates, yet variations in exact rainfall totals and wind strength across ensembles keep 14 °C and 17 °C probabilities nearly equal. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$48Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An approaching cut-off low pressure system is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Cape Town’s September 3 maximum temperature, with forecasts converging on 14–17 °C amid rain, strong southeasterly winds, and reduced insolation. Official guidance highlights cooler, wetter, and windier conditions linked to this system, which favors the 15–16 °C cluster (market-implied odds near 60 % combined) while leaving room for modest model spread on timing and intensity. Persistent cloud cover and enhanced mixing from 20–40 km/h gusts limit daytime warming relative to surrounding dates, yet variations in exact rainfall totals and wind strength across ensembles keep 14 °C and 17 °C probabilities nearly equal. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...An approaching cut-off low pressure system is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Cape Town’s September 3 maximum temperature, with forecasts converging on 14–17 °C amid rain, strong southeasterly winds, and reduced insolation. Official guidance highlights cooler, wetter, and windier conditions linked to this system, which favors the 15–16 °C cluster (market-implied odds near 60 % combined) while leaving room for modest model spread on timing and intensity. Persistent cloud cover and enhanced mixing from 20–40 km/h gusts limit daytime warming relative to surrounding dates, yet variations in exact rainfall totals and wind strength across ensembles keep 14 °C and 17 °C probabilities nearly equal. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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