Latest National Weather Service and model guidance highlight increased cloud cover, southeasterly flow, and a 40-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms for Dallas on September 3, which would limit daytime heating relative to the preceding hot, mostly sunny days. This drives the close market-implied odds between the 88-89°F and 90-91°F bins, with traders assigning roughly 64% combined probability to those ranges. Afternoon convection timing and coverage remain key variables that could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees either way, consistent with typical late-summer variability around the 93°F climatological average. Updated model runs and official forecast discussions over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 3 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 3 septembre ?
90-91°F 33%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 15%
94-95°F 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
33%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
7%
102°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 33%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 15%
94-95°F 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
83°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$45 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
11%
88-89°F
$81 Vol.
29%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
33%
92-93°F
$20 Vol.
16%
94-95°F
$28 Vol.
11%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
4%
100-101°F
$10 Vol.
7%
102°F or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance highlight increased cloud cover, southeasterly flow, and a 40-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms for Dallas on September 3, which would limit daytime heating relative to the preceding hot, mostly sunny days. This drives the close market-implied odds between the 88-89°F and 90-91°F bins, with traders assigning roughly 64% combined probability to those ranges. Afternoon convection timing and coverage remain key variables that could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees either way, consistent with typical late-summer variability around the 93°F climatological average. Updated model runs and official forecast discussions over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$189Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance highlight increased cloud cover, southeasterly flow, and a 40-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms for Dallas on September 3, which would limit daytime heating relative to the preceding hot, mostly sunny days. This drives the close market-implied odds between the 88-89°F and 90-91°F bins, with traders assigning roughly 64% combined probability to those ranges. Afternoon convection timing and coverage remain key variables that could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees either way, consistent with typical late-summer variability around the 93°F climatological average. Updated model runs and official forecast discussions over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$189Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance highlight increased cloud cover, southeasterly flow, and a 40-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms for Dallas on September 3, which would limit daytime heating relative to the preceding hot, mostly sunny days. This drives the close market-implied odds between the 88-89°F and 90-91°F bins, with traders assigning roughly 64% combined probability to those ranges. Afternoon convection timing and coverage remain key variables that could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees either way, consistent with typical late-summer variability around the 93°F climatological average. Updated model runs and official forecast discussions over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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