Current GFS and ensemble forecasts position a 25°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 2, with afternoon peaks near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa. Model consensus across sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 24–26°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C at 53.5% implied probability and the secondary 24°C and 26°C shares. This aligns with early-September climatology (average high ~23.5°C) while reflecting modest warming from recent high-pressure ridging, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong advection of warmer air. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for significant upward or downward revision before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Paris le 2 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Paris le 2 septembre ?
25°C 54%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$17,909 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,909 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
26%
25°C
54%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 54%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$17,909 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,909 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
20°C or below
$420 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$596 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,145 Vol.
6%
24°C
$5,610 Vol.
26%
25°C
$2,976 Vol.
54%
26°C
$2,102 Vol.
16%
27°C
$1,502 Vol.
3%
28°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$931 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current GFS and ensemble forecasts position a 25°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 2, with afternoon peaks near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa. Model consensus across sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 24–26°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C at 53.5% implied probability and the secondary 24°C and 26°C shares. This aligns with early-September climatology (average high ~23.5°C) while reflecting modest warming from recent high-pressure ridging, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong advection of warmer air. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for significant upward or downward revision before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$17,909Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current GFS and ensemble forecasts position a 25°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 2, with afternoon peaks near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa. Model consensus across sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 24–26°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C at 53.5% implied probability and the secondary 24°C and 26°C shares. This aligns with early-September climatology (average high ~23.5°C) while reflecting modest warming from recent high-pressure ridging, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong advection of warmer air. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for significant upward or downward revision before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,909Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current GFS and ensemble forecasts position a 25°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 2, with afternoon peaks near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa. Model consensus across sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 24–26°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C at 53.5% implied probability and the secondary 24°C and 26°C shares. This aligns with early-September climatology (average high ~23.5°C) while reflecting modest warming from recent high-pressure ridging, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong advection of warmer air. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for significant upward or downward revision before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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