Recent forecast model runs for Chengdu indicate a maximum temperature on September 2 most likely in the 32–34 °C range under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation within the Sichuan basin, where surrounding terrain can trap heat. Current consensus aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting limited but persistent uncertainty in the precise peak value that new model updates or local observations could still adjust before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 2 septembre ?
34°C 32%
33°C 27%
35°C 24%
32°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
27%
34°C
32%
35°C
24%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 32%
33°C 27%
35°C 24%
32°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
28°C or below
$391 Vol.
1%
29°C
$192 Vol.
1%
30°C
$320 Vol.
2%
31°C
$186 Vol.
4%
32°C
$832 Vol.
12%
33°C
$206 Vol.
27%
34°C
$254 Vol.
32%
35°C
$601 Vol.
24%
36°C
$247 Vol.
3%
37°C
$404 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$935 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Chengdu indicate a maximum temperature on September 2 most likely in the 32–34 °C range under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation within the Sichuan basin, where surrounding terrain can trap heat. Current consensus aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting limited but persistent uncertainty in the precise peak value that new model updates or local observations could still adjust before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,567Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Chengdu indicate a maximum temperature on September 2 most likely in the 32–34 °C range under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation within the Sichuan basin, where surrounding terrain can trap heat. Current consensus aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting limited but persistent uncertainty in the precise peak value that new model updates or local observations could still adjust before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,567Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Chengdu indicate a maximum temperature on September 2 most likely in the 32–34 °C range under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation within the Sichuan basin, where surrounding terrain can trap heat. Current consensus aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting limited but persistent uncertainty in the precise peak value that new model updates or local observations could still adjust before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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