Recent forecast consensus from global and regional models shows mostly sunny conditions over Milan on August 31 under a stable high-pressure ridge, with afternoon highs expected in the 30–32 °C range. Light westerly winds and low cloud cover will support strong solar heating, while modest dew points around 17–19 °C limit evaporative cooling. The tight spread between 30 °C and 31 °C market-implied odds reflects minor model-to-model differences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than any major synoptic shift. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 28–29 °C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent warm advection from the southwest. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS later today will be the next key data point for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 31 août ?
30°C 42%
31°C 42%
29°C 11%
32°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
42%
31°C
42%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 42%
31°C 42%
29°C 11%
32°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
42%
31°C
42%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from global and regional models shows mostly sunny conditions over Milan on August 31 under a stable high-pressure ridge, with afternoon highs expected in the 30–32 °C range. Light westerly winds and low cloud cover will support strong solar heating, while modest dew points around 17–19 °C limit evaporative cooling. The tight spread between 30 °C and 31 °C market-implied odds reflects minor model-to-model differences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than any major synoptic shift. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 28–29 °C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent warm advection from the southwest. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS later today will be the next key data point for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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