Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models such as GFS show a building high-pressure system over the UK driving mild, mostly dry conditions for London on September 1, with daytime maxima centered near the long-term average of 21.8°C. Westerly or southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, with some model runs supporting 22°C and others 23°C as the peak under partly cloudy skies. This narrow spread explains the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 24°C reflect smaller divergences in steering patterns and insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the distinction ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 1er septembre ?
22°C 39%
23°C 38%
21°C 14%
24°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
23°C 38%
21°C 14%
24°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
19°C or below
$15 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
6%
21°C
$88 Vol.
14%
22°C
$499 Vol.
39%
23°C
$610 Vol.
38%
24°C
$148 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$37 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models such as GFS show a building high-pressure system over the UK driving mild, mostly dry conditions for London on September 1, with daytime maxima centered near the long-term average of 21.8°C. Westerly or southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, with some model runs supporting 22°C and others 23°C as the peak under partly cloudy skies. This narrow spread explains the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 24°C reflect smaller divergences in steering patterns and insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the distinction ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,408Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models such as GFS show a building high-pressure system over the UK driving mild, mostly dry conditions for London on September 1, with daytime maxima centered near the long-term average of 21.8°C. Westerly or southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, with some model runs supporting 22°C and others 23°C as the peak under partly cloudy skies. This narrow spread explains the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 24°C reflect smaller divergences in steering patterns and insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the distinction ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,408Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models such as GFS show a building high-pressure system over the UK driving mild, mostly dry conditions for London on September 1, with daytime maxima centered near the long-term average of 21.8°C. Westerly or southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, with some model runs supporting 22°C and others 23°C as the peak under partly cloudy skies. This narrow spread explains the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 24°C reflect smaller divergences in steering patterns and insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the distinction ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes