Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature on September 3 most likely between 28–30 °C, with northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and isolated showers limiting daytime heating as a weakening tropical system and strengthening northeast monsoon interact over the northern South China Sea. These conditions introduce modest cooling compared with early-September climatological maxima near 31 °C, while urban heat-island effects and variable rainfall timing create the narrow spread separating 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes in trader pricing. Official guidance lists a 25–30 °C range, underscoring forecast uncertainty that will narrow with updated model runs and the next HKO briefing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 3 septembre ?
29°C 31%
30°C 28%
28°C 16%
31°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
10%
28°C
16%
29°C
31%
30°C
28%
31°C
11%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 31%
30°C 28%
28°C 16%
31°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
23°C or below
$11 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$125 Vol.
4%
26°C
$70 Vol.
8%
27°C
$47 Vol.
10%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$20 Vol.
31%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C
$161 Vol.
11%
32°C
$65 Vol.
5%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature on September 3 most likely between 28–30 °C, with northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and isolated showers limiting daytime heating as a weakening tropical system and strengthening northeast monsoon interact over the northern South China Sea. These conditions introduce modest cooling compared with early-September climatological maxima near 31 °C, while urban heat-island effects and variable rainfall timing create the narrow spread separating 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes in trader pricing. Official guidance lists a 25–30 °C range, underscoring forecast uncertainty that will narrow with updated model runs and the next HKO briefing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$509Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature on September 3 most likely between 28–30 °C, with northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and isolated showers limiting daytime heating as a weakening tropical system and strengthening northeast monsoon interact over the northern South China Sea. These conditions introduce modest cooling compared with early-September climatological maxima near 31 °C, while urban heat-island effects and variable rainfall timing create the narrow spread separating 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes in trader pricing. Official guidance lists a 25–30 °C range, underscoring forecast uncertainty that will narrow with updated model runs and the next HKO briefing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$509Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature on September 3 most likely between 28–30 °C, with northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and isolated showers limiting daytime heating as a weakening tropical system and strengthening northeast monsoon interact over the northern South China Sea. These conditions introduce modest cooling compared with early-September climatological maxima near 31 °C, while urban heat-island effects and variable rainfall timing create the narrow spread separating 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes in trader pricing. Official guidance lists a 25–30 °C range, underscoring forecast uncertainty that will narrow with updated model runs and the next HKO briefing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes