Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 project a minimum of 26°C within a 26–31°C daily range, driven by northwest monsoon flow and the outer bands of Tropical Cyclone Sadul, which sustain moderate winds without significant cooling. Real-time station data through early morning show temperatures holding near 26°C, consistent with climatological September baselines and model consensus from multiple sources. This evidence underpins the 97.5% market-implied probability for 25°C. Only an unexpected sharp overnight drop from enhanced advection or measurement revision at the official site could realistically shift the outcome toward 24°C or lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 3 septembre ?
25°C 97%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$16,946 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,946 Vol.
3 sept. 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
97%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 97%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$16,946 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,946 Vol.
3 sept. 2026
20°C or below
$469 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$463 Vol.
1%
22°C
$787 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$911 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,681 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,795 Vol.
97%
26°C
$4,864 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,064 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,396 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,047 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$470 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 project a minimum of 26°C within a 26–31°C daily range, driven by northwest monsoon flow and the outer bands of Tropical Cyclone Sadul, which sustain moderate winds without significant cooling. Real-time station data through early morning show temperatures holding near 26°C, consistent with climatological September baselines and model consensus from multiple sources. This evidence underpins the 97.5% market-implied probability for 25°C. Only an unexpected sharp overnight drop from enhanced advection or measurement revision at the official site could realistically shift the outcome toward 24°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$16,946Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 project a minimum of 26°C within a 26–31°C daily range, driven by northwest monsoon flow and the outer bands of Tropical Cyclone Sadul, which sustain moderate winds without significant cooling. Real-time station data through early morning show temperatures holding near 26°C, consistent with climatological September baselines and model consensus from multiple sources. This evidence underpins the 97.5% market-implied probability for 25°C. Only an unexpected sharp overnight drop from enhanced advection or measurement revision at the official site could realistically shift the outcome toward 24°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,946Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 project a minimum of 26°C within a 26–31°C daily range, driven by northwest monsoon flow and the outer bands of Tropical Cyclone Sadul, which sustain moderate winds without significant cooling. Real-time station data through early morning show temperatures holding near 26°C, consistent with climatological September baselines and model consensus from multiple sources. This evidence underpins the 97.5% market-implied probability for 25°C. Only an unexpected sharp overnight drop from enhanced advection or measurement revision at the official site could realistically shift the outcome toward 24°C or lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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